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SemiAnalysis拆解企业AI预算:Meta曾单月消耗70万亿tokens,但真正的风险不是客户不用AI了

BlockBeats 消息,7 月 1 日,企业 AI 使用正在从「尽量多用」转向「有额度地用」。SemiAnalysis 在 7 月 1 日发布的 Token Budgeting 报告中称,年初一度流行的 tokenmaxxing,也就是鼓励员工尽可能多消耗 AI token 以提升生产力,正在被更现实的预算制度取代。但该机构认为,媒体关于企业削减 AI 支出的叙事被夸大了,OpenAI 和 Anthropic 的 API 业务在今年下半年并未面临实质性预算风险。 SemiAnalysis 团队称,他们通过 Slack、电话以及 Databricks AI Summit 与 50 多家企业客户交流后发现,大多数公司确实开始设置 AI 使用上限,但并没有形成统一标准。低端预算可能只有每人每月 250 至 500 美元,高端预算则可达到每月 2000 美元甚至数万美元。一家美国大型航空航天与国防制造商把部分员工的月度额度设在 250 美元,一家大型制药公司设在 500 美元;Workday、Stripe 等技术更前沿的企业,部分员工预算约为每月 2000 美元。 这与年初的「token 最大化」形成对比。报告提到,Meta 和 Salesforce 等公司曾鼓励员工大量使用 AI 工具。Meta 内部甚至出现过一个名为「Claudeconomics」的仪表盘,对公司前 250 名重度用户进行排名。数据显示,Meta 员工在 30 天内消耗超过 60 万亿 tokens,单个最高用户消耗约 2800 亿 tokens。该仪表盘在相关报道后两天被关闭。Uber 也被报道称在四个月内消耗完 Claude Code 和 Codex 的年度预算,随后设置了每人每月 1500 美元的限额,超额申请需逐案审批。 但 SemiAnalysis 认为,这些极端案例更多反映激励机制和管理松散,而不是企业 AI 支出整体见顶。报告称,前 10% 高消费客户贡献了 AI 实验室大部分收入,这些客户在今年剩余时间削减 API 支出的风险很低。即便 Meta 在 2 月每月消耗约 70 万亿 tokens,并且按标价计算每名员工每年花费接近 5 万美元,SemiAnalysis 估计其仍只占 Anthropic 收入的 3% 至 5%。 企业支出分布也高度不均。SemiAnalysis 引用 Ramp 数据称,前 1% 客户每名员工年均 A
Disclaimer: The views above are the author's only and do not represent 711BTC. Nothing here constitutes investment advice.

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07-01 16:24

SemiAnalysis breaks down enterprise AI budgets: Meta once consumed 70 trillion tokens in a single month, but the real risk isn't that customers are no longer using AI.

According to BlockBeats, on July 1st, enterprise AI usage is shifting from "use as much as possible" to "use within limits." SemiAnalysis, in its Token Budgeting report released on July 1st, stated that the tokenmaxing trend popular at the beginning of the year—encouraging employees to consume as many AI tokens as possible to boost productivity—is being replaced by more realistic budgeting systems. However, the firm believes that media narratives about companies cutting AI spending are exaggerated, and OpenAI and Anthropic's API businesses did not face substantial budget risks in the second half of the year. The SemiAnalysis team stated that after communicating with over 50 enterprise clients via Slack, phone calls, and the Databricks AI Summit, they found that while most companies are indeed starting to set caps on AI usage, a unified standard has not yet been established. Low-end budgets may be only $250 to $500 per person per month, while high-end budgets can reach $2,000 or even tens of thousands of dollars per month. A major US aerospace and defense manufacturer set a monthly budget of $250 for some employees, while a major pharmaceutical company set it at $500; more cutting-edge technology companies like Workday and Stripe have budgets of around $2,000 per month for some employees. This contrasts with the "token maximization" trend at the beginning of the year. The report mentions that companies like Meta and Salesforce encouraged employees to use AI tools extensively. Meta even had an internal dashboard called "Claudeconomics" that ranked the company's top 250 heavy users. Data showed that Meta employees consumed over 60 trillion tokens in 30 days, with the highest single user consuming approximately 280 billion tokens. This dashboard was shut down two days after the related reports. Uber was also reported to have exhausted the annual budgets of Claude Code and Codex within four months, subsequently setting a limit of $1,500 per person per month, with any excess requests requiring case-by-case approval. However, SemiAnalysis believes these extreme cases reflect loose incentive mechanisms and management rather than a general peak in enterprise AI spending. The report states that the top 10% of high-spending clients contribute the majority of AI lab revenue, and these clients are at low risk of cutting API spending for the remainder of the year. Even though Meta consumed approximately 70 trillion tokens per month in February, and at a price of nearly $50,000 per employee per year, SemiAnalysis estimates this still only accounts for 3% to 5% of Anthropic's revenue. Enterprise spending is also highly unevenly distributed. SemiAnalysis cites Ramp data stating that the top 1% of clients spend an average of [missing data - likely referring to a specific amount of money] per employee per year...

07-03 12:09

SemiAnalysis: Meta will accelerate, rather than slow down, its computing power procurement; it is in talks with Anthropic to build its own AI model service platform.

According to BlockBeats, on July 3rd, SemiAnalysis stated in its latest report that after news broke that Meta might become a new Neocloud, the market's initial reaction was to sell off computing power cloud companies like CoreWeave and Nebius, and to renewed concerns about "AI computing power oversupply." However, the firm's assessment is the opposite: this concern may be wrong. Meta's data center and computing power procurement will not slow down, but rather continue to accelerate. The article mentions that in the first half of this year alone, Meta has already signed contracts for over 5GW of capacity in the cloud services and managed data center sectors, and this does not include its accelerating self-built projects. SemiAnalysis states that Meta is in final negotiations with Anthropic, hoping to obtain access to Claude private instances. If this comes to fruition, the significance goes beyond "Meta buying more computing power"; it suggests that Meta may be building its own AI model service platform. This model is somewhat similar to AWS's Bedrock, Microsoft's Foundry, and Google's Vertex. Meta can initially use Claude internally, or it can package the model capabilities as a token-as-a-service to provide services externally in the future. In the short term, it might use its own models externally and Anthropic models internally; in the long term, Meta might even incorporate Anthropic and OpenAI models into its external service system. SemiAnalysis states that the underlying logic is that Meta has computing power, advertisers, social network distribution capabilities, and consumer-end entry points. If it can combine cutting-edge models, intelligent agents, and sales and marketing SaaS, it will not just be a company that buys GPUs, but will be moving towards the upper layers of AI application and model distribution.

07-08 18:45

FalconX withdrew 73,900 HYPE tokens from Gate in the past 7 minutes, equivalent to approximately $5.03 million.

According to BlockBeats, on July 8th, Onchain Lens monitoring showed that FalconX withdrew 73,900 HYPE tokens from Gate in the past 7 minutes, worth approximately $5.03 million.

07-07 20:53Important

AKE's major shareholders transferred another $2.24 million worth of tokens to Binance Alpha and then sold them off, causing AKE to drop another 33%.

According to BlockBeats, on July 7th, on-chain analyst Yu Jin monitored that three days ago, approximately $1.22 million worth of AKE (3.944 billion tokens) was transferred to Binance Alpha by AKE market makers and then sold off. AKE fell 40% that day, from $0.0005 to $0.0003. In the past few hours today, approximately $2.24 million worth of AKE (9.825 billion tokens) continued to be transferred to Binance Alpha by AKE market makers, while a sell-off is also occurring on-chain. Affected by this, AKE was again dumped by 33%, with the price falling from $0.0003 to $0.0002.

07-04 14:21

Jupiter Strategic Reserve Trust increased its holdings by approximately 186,500 JUP tokens, bringing the total value of its holdings to approximately $34.8 million.

According to BlockBeats, on July 4th, the Jupiter Litterbox Trust, Jupiter's strategic reserve trust, increased its holdings by 186,546 JUP, worth approximately $45,000. This brings its total purchases this month to 1,226,119 JUP, worth approximately $300,000. Its total purchases to date amount to 145,028,229 JUP, worth approximately $34.8 million. The Jupiter Litterbox Trust is Jupiter's official on-chain treasury fund, automatically transferring 50% of Jupiter protocol revenue to it. Through smart contracts, it continuously buys and holds JUP tokens on the open market, often jokingly referred to by the community as the "litterbox trust."

07-02 09:21

Palantir CEO: Enterprises are dissatisfied with "cutting-edge labs" like OpenAI and Anthropic, which only pursue token maximization.

According to BlockBeats, on July 2nd, Palantir CEO Alex Karp, in an interview with CNBC's "Squawk Box," strongly criticized leading AI model companies, calling the way AI is sold "completely wrong." Karp emphasized that companies are already dissatisfied with "cutting-edge labs" like OpenAI and Anthropic, believing they only pursue token maximization, wasting companies' time and money while handing over proprietary value and IP. Karp stated that companies are "angry" and will commit to owning their own AI production resources rather than relying on third parties. On June 29th, Palantir partnered with Nvidia to deploy Nvidia Nemotron open AI models in sovereign environments, primarily serving the US government and critical infrastructure customers. The collaborative system reportedly integrates Nvidia AI technology with Palantir's AIP, Foundry, Ontology, and Apollo platforms, helping organizations train, customize, and deploy AI locally while maintaining complete control over data, intellectual property, and models.