China Galaxy Securities: Structural Breakthrough Focuses on Science and Technology Innovation Manufacturing; Main Theme Shifts to Three Major Directions: Semiconductors, AI, and Aerospace.
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China Merchants Securities: Focus on the dual themes of technology recovery and interim results after short-term shocks.
Mars Finance reports that China Merchants Securities released a research report stating that after the short-term shock, attention should be paid to both technology recovery and interim results. The market correction caused by Meta's sale of computing power is not a signal of computing power oversupply, but rather a necessary choice to improve asset returns during a period of high capital expenditure. The industry is currently moving from simple Capex expansion to ROIC verification, rather than entering a stage of computing power oversupply. The current market correction is mainly due to the significant short-term gains in the general computing power sector, coupled with leveraged funds amplifying volatility. Pessimistic narratives easily trigger short-term negative feedback from market funds, similar to the previous AI bubble theory and Apple's price increase. However, after the liquidity shock, the bank believes that the AI industry trend has not been disproven, the supply and demand gap for memory chips remains unchanged, the price increase of MLCCs remains unchanged, and the indium phosphide shortage remains unchanged, suggesting a potential recovery in the technology sector. Besides the technology sector, attention should also be paid to sectors where interim results are misaligned with stock prices. (Cailian Press)
The computing power leasing concept rebounded after fluctuations, with Wangsu Science & Technology rising nearly 15%.
According to Mars Finance, the computing power leasing concept stocks rebounded in early trading, with Wangsu Science & Technology rising nearly 15%, followed by Sangfor Technologies, Cloudwalk Technology, UCloud, Aofei Data, and Xiechuang Data. Galaxy Securities believes that computing power leasing companies are currently exploring a "token factory" cooperation model with large-scale model providers, gradually evolving from the underlying "selling resources" model to a "selling output" model. Computing power leasing companies will provide MaaS services and share the benefits of the token boom through a token-sharing profit model. (Cailian Press)
Galaxy Securities: We recommend focusing on leading computing power leasing companies.
According to Mars Finance, Galaxy Securities points out that with the explosive growth in demand for AI inference computing power, the token factory business model is accelerating. Compared with traditional computing power leasing, token factories place greater emphasis on binding with downstream large-scale model inference needs. Pricing is gradually shifting from "computing power resources and duration" to "token output and unit cost." Upstream computing infrastructure can participate more in the value distribution of downstream model manufacturers, strengthening the bargaining power of the upstream computing infrastructure segment and sharing the dividends of the token economy era. Galaxy Securities believes that computing power leasing companies are currently exploring the "token factory" cooperation model with large model manufacturers, which will gradually evolve from the underlying "selling resources" model of computing power leasing to a "selling output" model. Computing power leasing companies will provide MaaS services and share the dividends of the token boom by adopting a token revenue-sharing profit model. This is expected to improve the profit margin of computing power leasing companies, and the valuation center is expected to further increase. It is recommended to pay attention to leading computing power leasing companies.
Is the first humanoid robot company to go public on the A-share market coming? Unitree Robotics' IPO registration on the Science and Technology Innovation Board has been approved, with plans to raise 4.202 billion yuan.
According to Odaily Odaily on July 6, the Shanghai Stock Exchange website shows that the IPO application status of Unitree Technology Co., Ltd. on the Science and Technology Innovation Board has changed to "registration effective". It is reported that Unitree Robotics plans to issue no less than 40.4464 million new shares in its IPO, accounting for no less than 10% of the total share capital after the issuance, with a planned total fundraising amount of 4.202 billion yuan. According to the prospectus, from 2023 to 2025, the company's operating revenue was 159 million yuan, 393 million yuan, and 1.699 billion yuan, respectively, and its net profit was -11.1451 million yuan, 95.4747 million yuan, and 278 million yuan, respectively, making it one of the few profitable high-performance general-purpose robot companies globally. (Bianews)
Citrini Analyst: China's CXMT tests pilot production line for bonding DRAM; South Korean media claims its technology and development speed may be ahead of its South Korean rivals.
According to a Odaily by Citrini analyst Jukan on the X platform, South Korean media reports that China's CXMT is currently testing a bonded DRAM pilot production line in Hefei, aiming to achieve high-performance DRAM without using EUV lithography. Bonded DRAM is a technology that manufactures the memory cell array and peripheral circuitry on separate wafers and then bonds them together. This method can produce ultra-high-density DRAM using only multi-patterned deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography, without requiring EUV equipment. Samsung Electronics is developing its own bonded DRAM under Project B1b, and SK hynix is also advancing similar technology. South Korean media warns that assessments suggest CXMT may currently be ahead of its South Korean competitors in terms of both the technology itself and the speed of its development.
Galaxy Research Head: Strategy Capital's strategy buys time, but structural pressures remain.
PANews reported on July 5th that Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy, stated that Strategy (MSTR)'s recent capital management reforms have effectively alleviated market concerns about liquidity and preferred stock system pressures in the short term, but are more about "buying time" than fundamentally solving structural problems. Thorn emphasized that the core issue is not whether Strategy has enough BTC (approximately 847,000 coins), but rather that insufficient dollar liquidity is needed to cover preferred stock and capital structure obligations without harming the interests of any party, leading to a squeeze on the interests of various shareholder groups.