Analysis: Amidst record outflows from ETFs, whale snapped up 270,000 BTC, signaling a structural divergence in Bitcoin's future.
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Analysis: Bitcoin may be entering a period of bottoming out; Strategy's sale of Bitcoin did not trigger panic.
According to a recent report by Bitfinex Alpha, as Odaily by Odaily, Strategy recently conducted its first large-scale Bitcoin sale, but the market showed strong resilience and no significant selling pressure emerged. Bitcoin rebounded after hitting a low of $57,803 on July 1st, and its performance in July remains positive, consistent with the views expressed in Bitfinex Alpha's previous report (No. 212), suggesting a potential market correction this month. Data shows that Strategy may have executed a BTC sale between June 29 and July 2, but the price of Bitcoin still saw a positive weekly increase during the same period, rising approximately 10.5% from its cycle low. Furthermore, on the last trading day of last week and the first trading day of this week, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded inflows exceeding $200 million per day, ending a previous 10-day streak of net outflows, with a cumulative outflow of $2.73 billion. June was a challenging month for Bitcoin ETFs, with net outflows for nine consecutive weeks, reaching nearly $4.06 billion in June alone. However, these redemptions primarily reflect authorized participants (APs) returning ETF units and a decrease in passive funding demand, rather than indicating a large-scale immediate sale of Bitcoin through on-chain markets. The market is currently unable to fully determine whether investors have digested recent changes in fund flows, but spot trading volume does not fully reflect the impact of the previous large-scale outflows. With changes in ETF asset allocation and a return to positive fund flows, the Bitcoin market may face new variables in July. After a brief dip following the announcement of the Strategy sale, BTC prices quickly stabilized and have now returned to the lower end of the first quarter trading range, exceeding pre-announcement levels. ETF fund flows have recorded net inflows for three consecutive trading days, and the $61,000 level has become a crucial dividing line between bullish and bearish forces in the market. Bitcoin is currently in a downtrend on a higher timeframe, but the market structure is changing. Approximately 10.83 million BTC are currently in an unrealized loss state, while about 9.22 million BTC remain profitable, marking the first time that the number of losing BTC has exceeded the number of profitable BTC. Historically, this phase typically indicates significant pressure on spot holders and often approaches the bottoming phase of a bear market. However, a true macro bottom still needs confirmation from key indicators, such as Bitcoin consistently recovering to its current "True Market Mean" of around $71,500. While the current market environment may dampen sentiment in the short term, it also creates conditions for long-term funds to absorb selling pressure. As long-term holders and some whale re-accumulate, Bitcoin is shifting from low-conviction holders to high-conviction investors, and the next two to three months may be a crucial window for confirming a temporary bottom.
Strategy Sets New BTC Holdings Record After $143M Bitcoin Purchase
Michael Saylor's Bitcoin treasury firm bought 1,665 BTC last week, taking its holdings above its previous record to 847,666 BTC.
Bitcoin ETFs take in $1.7B in 2 days as BTC tops holder cost basis
US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded more than $1.7 billion in net inflows over two days as Bitcoin rose above investors’ estimated average cost basis.
Bitcoin ETFs notch best month of 2026 as BTC gains 25% in August
US spot Bitcoin ETFs reduced their year-to-date net outflows by 66% as Bitcoin gained about 25% in August, while Ether ETFs turned positive year-to-date at $732 million and XRP ETFs reached $502 million.
Bitcoin ETFs end 9-day inflow streak as BTC dips below $78K
US spot Bitcoin ETFs posted $201.8 million in net outflows Friday, led by ARK 21Shares, as total fund assets slipped back below $100 billion.
A whale opened a short position of 493 BTC with 40x leverage and is currently showing a floating profit of $111,400.
PANews reported on July 8th that, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, the whale"0x77ee" opened a short position of 493 BTC ($31.08 million) on Hyperliquid with 40x leverage. The opening price was $63,240.9, the liquidation price was $73,859.9, and the unrealized profit was $111,400. This wallet currently has 92% of its positions short, totaling 15 positions, with a total exposure of $79.88 million and a historical profit/loss of $5.71 million.