SATA pre-market prices rebounded to near $100 par value; today marks the 20th consecutive dividend payment.
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Bernstein: The storage bull market could continue into 2027, but the steepest part of the rise has passed.
According to Mars Finance, on July 8th, Wall Street investment bank Bernstein released its monthly global memory tracking report, stating that DRAM contract prices continued to rise month-on-month in June, implying that the average price of traditional DRAM in Q2 2026 will increase by approximately 74% compared to Q1. Demand from servers and mobile devices remains the main driver, with Server DRAM prices expected to rise by approximately 60% to 67% in Q2, and Mobile DRAM by nearly 80%. The spot market also shows tight supply. PC DRAM spot prices rose 5.6% to 11.5% month-on-month in June, while Server DRAM rose 6.1% to 26.4%. The report stated that Server DDR5 performed particularly strongly, with spot prices significantly higher than contract prices, indicating that demand from AI and cloud service providers is still absorbing the new capacity shifted by suppliers to the server market. However, Bernstein also cautioned that the rate of price increases will slow significantly in Q3. TrendForce predicts that traditional DRAM price increases will slow to 13% to 18% in the third quarter, down from the steep increases in the second quarter. PC, mobile phone, and consumer electronics customers are reducing configurations or adjusting purchasing paces; while demand disruption is not yet fully apparent, the report believes it will eventually occur. The situation for NAND is more divergent. In June, NAND wafer spot prices actually fell by 3% to 4%, while wafer contract prices rose only slightly by 0.3% to 3.7%. However, strong price increases in mobile NAND and SSDs will still drive overall NAND contract prices up by about 60% in the second quarter. Bernstein stated that SSD and mobile storage price increases could reach 70% to 80%, offsetting the weakness on the wafer side. The key variable in this storage cycle remains AI. Cloud service providers and server customers continue to prioritize securing supply; some US CSPs have completed long-term agreement negotiations, while Chinese CSPs are still negotiating. Long-term agreements help smooth future price declines but may also limit the room for some suppliers to continue raising prices. In its investment conclusions, Bernstein maintains positive ratings for Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, and SanDisk, while remaining cautious on Kioxia. The report believes that storage prices may remain strong until 2027, but will gradually normalize from the second half of 2027 to 2028 as long-term agreements take effect and new capacity comes online.
CFTC, US soldier accused of illegal Polymarket bet spar over interpretation of prediction markets
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a soldier who allegedly used nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, but the regulator is trying to weigh in on the criminal case.
City of Baltimore goes after prediction markets for sports betting
The city’s complaint over gambling laws and deceptive trade practices included Robinhood, Webull and Coinbase as partners with prediction market platform Kalshi.
Following the "end" of the US-Iran ceasefire, cryptocurrency and stock markets experienced widespread declines.
PANews reported on July 8th that, according to CoinDesk, the US launched airstrikes against Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ships, and Iran subsequently attacked Kuwait and Bahrain. US President Trump announced the "end" of the ceasefire with Iran, calling the negotiations "meaningless," causing a sharp drop in global risk appetite. Bitcoin and Ethereum fell by more than 2%, the CoinDesk 20 index fell by nearly 3%, and Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures fell by about 1.5% at one point. In the crypto derivatives market, BTC futures open interest declined slightly, while ETH triggered approximately $90 million in long position liquidations during the price drop. Overall, the 24-hour crypto market saw approximately $450 million in liquidations, of which approximately $350 million came from Altcoin trading pairs. Altcoins generally fell, and Solana erased all gains since July.
Nvidia's market value evaporated by $1 trillion in less than two months, with its valuation falling back to levels seen before the AI boom.
According to Mars Finance, after losing approximately $1 trillion in market capitalization in less than two months, Nvidia stock has hit its lowest level since the artificial intelligence (AI) boom fueled its surge. The chipmaker's graphics processing units (GPUs) still dominate the AI data center market. However, its share price has fallen 16% since hitting an all-time high on May 14th, prompting investors to adjust their AI trading strategies, selling Nvidia and investing in other semiconductor manufacturers, particularly those in the memory market. Data shows the sell-off has driven Nvidia's price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) to 18 based on its expected earnings over the next 12 months. The last time it reached such a low level was in early 2019. To better understand the depth of the decline, a comparison with benchmark stock indices shows that the S&P 500 has a forward P/E ratio of 20, and the Nasdaq 100 has a forward P/E ratio close to 23. (Cailian Press)