Goldman Sachs: Buy on dips in chip stocks, but avoid "buying a basket of chips" again.
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Multiple Wall Street firms are collectively advocating for "buying on dips" in the semiconductor sector: the long-term logic of AI remains unchanged, but investment is entering an era of selective buying.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, amidst the recent continuous correction in the semiconductor sector, several Wall Street institutions have voiced their opinions, generally believing that the current adjustment presents an opportunity for investors to "buy on dips." However, unlike past recommendations to allocate across the entire semiconductor sector, institutions generally believe that AI investment has entered a phase of selective stock picking. Goldman Sachs stated that AI chip trading has entered a more selective phase, and does not recommend continuing to "buy a basket" of semiconductor stocks. They remain optimistic about specific sub-sectors such as CPUs, ASICs, memory, and semiconductor equipment, specifically highlighting AMD and Applied Materials. JPMorgan Chase believes that the recent correction in semiconductor stocks presents a good entry window, as AI chip demand remains in a long-term upward cycle, with new capacity not expected to be significantly released until around 2028, and the industry's supply and demand structure remains healthy. Bank of America maintains its optimistic outlook on the long-term boom cycle of AI semiconductors, believing the industry is still in the middle of an 8- to 10-year growth cycle, and the global semiconductor market size is expected to continue to expand. They recommend focusing on industry leaders such as Nvidia, Broadcom, Lam Research, and KLA. UBS stated that the long-term investment logic for AI remains unchanged, and the short-term fluctuations in the semiconductor sector actually provide long-term investors with opportunities to gradually build positions. They recommend taking advantage of market corrections to buy on dips. Morgan Stanley believes that the long-term prospects for AI chips remain positive, but with the sector's significant rise, the market will focus more on earnings realization capabilities. Funds may gradually rotate from some chip stocks to AI infrastructure beneficiaries such as cloud computing, and investors should pay more attention to individual stock selection. Overall, several Wall Street institutions, including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and UBS, have recently released similar signals: the semiconductor correction is not the end of the AI rally, but rather provides a new window for investment. However, the market has moved from a phase of "broad-based sector gains" to one of "selecting leading companies," and future performance will depend more on companies' earnings realization capabilities and the sustainability of demand for AI infrastructure.
JPMorgan: Weakness in semiconductor stocks should be seen as a buying opportunity; the upward cycle is not yet nearing its end.
According to BlockBeats, on July 7th, JPMorgan strategists stated that the recent weakness in semiconductor stocks should be seen as a buying opportunity, as the chip upcycle is not yet nearing its end, and truly meaningful new supply may not appear until 2028. The bank noted that the SOX Semiconductor Index fell approximately 5.4% in the shortened trading week before the Independence Day holiday, marking its second consecutive week of decline. However, the sector rebounded rapidly on Monday, with Marvell, Broadcom, and storage-related stocks such as Western Digital and Seagate leading the gains, indicating that funds are still willing to return to the AI hardware chain. JPMorgan's view is not entirely bullish on AI concepts. The bank prefers the semiconductor and infrastructure sectors, while remaining cautious about the so-called "AI cannibalization" area—industries that may be replaced by AI, have lower prices, or have reduced profit margins. Sectors most affected include software, business services, and media. In other words, JPMorgan believes that AI will still create winners, but it may not benefit all AI-related companies; the certainty for hardware suppliers is higher in the short term than for some application and service companies.
Goldman Sachs maintains Nvidia's $285 price target, valuation already reflects ASIC market share risk.
According to BlockBeats, on July 7th, Goldman Sachs maintained its "Buy" rating and $285 price target for Nvidia, stating that the stock's current valuation already largely reflects the risk of market share loss due to its self-developed AI chips and increased competition. Nvidia has recently underperformed the broader semiconductor sector. While chip stocks generally rebounded on Monday, Nvidia's gains were limited; year-to-date, its performance has also significantly lagged behind AI hardware companies like Micron, AMD, Intel, and Marvell. The main market concern is that major customers like Alphabet and Amazon are pushing their self-developed ASIC chips to third parties while still purchasing Nvidia GPUs. Meanwhile, increased CPU investment in AI workloads is also giving AMD and Intel more growth opportunities. However, Goldman Sachs analyst James Schneider believes that Nvidia's risk discount is already too large. He expects that even with some market share gained by ASICs and some incremental growth from competitors, Nvidia's revenue could still achieve strong growth next year. The Vera Rubin platform, which will enter mass production in the second half of the year, will be key to determining whether the company can widen the performance gap again.
Australian superannuation fund UniSuper plans to buy tech stocks on dips, ignoring concerns about an AI bubble.
According to Mars Finance, on July 8th, UniSuper, one of Australia's largest pension funds, is seeking to buy into US tech stocks during a pullback, ignoring concerns about high valuations and betting that artificial intelligence will drive earnings growth in the coming years. John Pearce, the fund's chief investment officer, stated that the fund is structurally overweight in US tech stocks because they are at the "sweet spot" of the AI spending cycle, and would increase its holdings even if the sector pulls back by 10%. This bullish stance highlights the growing divergence among investors regarding the long-term prospects of US mega-cap tech stocks—which are currently retreating from their record highs reached last month. Pearce stated, "Everyone is talking about a bubble, but valuations don't reflect that. We know they're investing heavily in capital expenditures, but they are fundamentally sound companies with strong growth prospects, so we're very happy to continue long." UniSuper, with assets under management of A$166 billion (approximately US$115 billion), has maintained an overweight position in US tech stocks for several months. International equities account for about 35% of its default investment strategy, with Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple being its largest holdings.
US pre-market news at a glance: Samsung's earnings report triggered a collective weakness in semiconductor stocks in pre-market trading; SpaceX officially debuts on the Nasdaq 100 today.
According to BlockBeats, the following are key market news items before the US stock market opened on July 7th: 1. Samsung released its Q2 earnings forecast, showing an operating profit increase of over 1800% year-on-year, with single-quarter profits exceeding the total of the previous three years. Simultaneously, the company's revenue also increased by 129% year-on-year, reaching 171 trillion won. Affected by the semiconductor sell-off triggered by the "sell-off" of Samsung's earnings, chip-related technology stocks generally weakened in pre-market trading. The three major US stock futures indices showed mixed results in pre-market trading: Dow Jones futures rose 0.41%, Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.9%, and S&P 500 futures fell 0.09%. 2. SpaceX officially debuted on the Nasdaq 100 before the US stock market opened today, with Wall Street institutions collectively bullish. Most institutions believe that SpaceX is no longer just a traditional aerospace company, but a platform company with the potential for rocket launches, Starlink satellite internet, AI infrastructure, and future space computing. 3. DeepSeek is secretly developing its own inference chip. If successful, this would reduce reliance on external suppliers and give it more cost-effective hardware control. However, the project is still in its early stages and faces manufacturing and memory acquisition restrictions due to US export controls. 4. UBS recommends investors buy SK Hynix's upcoming American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) and sell its South Korean shares, as these new shares are expected to trade at higher prices. 5. JPMorgan strategists say the recent weakness in semiconductor stocks should be seen as a buying opportunity, as the chip upcycle is not yet over, and truly meaningful new supply may not appear until 2028. 6. US ADP employment change for the week ending June 20 was 21,000, compared to 30,750 in the previous week. 7. BlackRock will launch an ETF tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, aiming to meet investors' growing demand for participation in the AI-driven stock market rally and challenge Invesco's dominant position. 8. Amazon is returning to the US bond market to raise funds for its artificial intelligence infrastructure. The company will issue eight benchmark bonds with maturities ranging from 3 to 40 years, raising at least $25 billion in the dollar bond offering. 9. Global brokerages have begun coverage research on Elon Musk's SpaceX (SPCX.O), and a preliminary consensus has formed on Wall Street: buy the stock. At least six brokerages, including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, have given it a buy rating, optimistic about its long-term growth prospects, although doubts remain about profitability and valuation.
Since October of last year, hedge funds have once again concentrated their buying on technology stocks.
According to a chart posted on X by financial analysis website Barchart, based on Odaily of America data, hedge funds' purchases of technology stocks last week reached their highest level since October of last year.