Trump says the temporary ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran has ended.
Related
The Dutch AEX index fell 0.35% after Trump said the ceasefire with Iran had ended.
According to ChainCatcher, Gate market data shows that the Dutch AEX index fell 0.35% as US President Trump stated that the ceasefire with Iran had ended.
A summary of the latest situation in the Middle East: Trump approves plan to strike Iran; Iran believes the US will cause peace talks to fail.
BlockBeats reports the following is a summary of the latest situation in the Middle East on July 8th: Conflict Situation: Trump approved the strike plan against Iran. US officials stated that the strike against Iran was a "punitive action, not a reciprocal response," and that the operation "will not end anytime soon." A US official stated that the strike launched by the US against Iran on Tuesday was four to five times larger and more powerful than the strike launched 10 days earlier. The US revoked a general license authorizing the sale of Iranian oil, allowing related final transactions to continue until midnight Eastern Time on July 17th. This move is reportedly in response to Iran's recent firing on three merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that some merchant ships were sailing without coordination and had turned off or tampered with AIS signals, hindering safe navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. It urged regional countries and shipping companies to avoid any actions that violate the memorandum. The U.S. Central Command stated that its forces have initiated a series of powerful strikes against Iran in response to Iranian targeting and attacks on commercial shipping operated by civilian crews in international waterways. Iran's Foreign Ministry condemned the U.S. Treasury Department's revocation of the temporary suspension of sanctions on Iranian oil sales. U.S.-Iran Negotiations: Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi stated that if the threats persist, negotiations for a final agreement will not begin; please honor your commitments. Iran's Supreme Leader's advisor, Rezaei, stated that it is clear the U.S. will cause the negotiations to fail. Lebanese diplomatic sources indicated that Lebanon refused to hold the sixth round of Lebanon-Israel talks in Rome, insisting that negotiations should continue in Washington. Strait of Hormuz: A liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier was attacked in the Gulf of Oman. Multiple explosions occurred in the southern Iranian port city of Sirik. Explosions were heard on Qeshm Island and Bandar Abbas in southern Iran. British Maritime Authority: The threat level in the Strait of Hormuz has been raised to "serious".
US media reveals inside story of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement: The Iranian president and central bank governor jointly urged the Supreme Leader to "sign it quickly."
According to a report by The New York Times on July 4th, citing four officials familiar with the details of the meeting, Iranian President Pezechzian visited Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei during the final stages of negotiations when Khamenei hesitated to approve the preliminary ceasefire agreement. The Iranian president told the Supreme Leader that the economic situation was dire, the US naval blockade was strangling Iran, and he would resign if he rejected the agreement. Furthermore, the Governor of the Central Bank of Iran, Abdulnaser Hemmati, also wrote to Khamenei, stating that the country faced a severe budget crisis and that critical food and medical supplies would run out by the end of August if the naval blockade continued. Hemmati explained in the letter that Iran could not sell oil on the required scale or find alternative trade routes. These statements played a crucial role in Mojtaba's eventual decision to support the agreement. In a brief public statement, he stated that although he opposed the agreement "in principle," he instructed the president to proceed if he obtained the support of the Supreme National Security Council. Pezechzian stated that the council approved the agreement by 12 out of 13 votes.
One hour before Trump's statement, a short position of 21 million (long oil, short Nasdaq) saw significant profits after investors added to their short positions.
According to BlockBeats, on July 8th, Hyperinsight monitoring showed that an address starting with 0xec4 had already established a long position in Brent crude oil with 20x leverage two days prior. Then, approximately one hour before Trump's Middle East statements triggered a market surge, a short position in the Nasdaq 100 was significantly increased with 30x leverage. Subsequently, oil prices jumped, and risk assets came under pressure, leading to profit-taking on both sides. As of press time, the two highly leveraged positions at this address had a combined unrealized profit of approximately $510,000. The return on the Brent crude oil long position reached 189%, and the return on the Nasdaq 100 short position reached 37%. The entry times were as follows: July 6th afternoon: Brent crude oil long position established with 20x leverage; July 7th evening: Nasdaq 100 mapped contract (XYZ100) opened with a base position of approximately 200 contracts with 30x leverage; This afternoon (approximately 1 hour before the statement): Significantly increased short positions, pushing the XYZ100 short position to 600 contracts, valued at approximately $17.304 million, completing the setup just before the news was released. On the news front, Trump's latest statement indicated that the temporary ceasefire arrangements between the US and Iran may have ended, and the market re-priced in Middle East geopolitical risk premiums. Reports indicate that crude oil futures jumped approximately 5% after the statement. Current core positions: Brent crude oil (BRENTOIL) long positions: 50,000 contracts, approximately $3.915 million, average price $71.8645, liquidation price $37.26, unrealized profit approximately $322,000; Nasdaq 100 mapped contract (XYZ100) short positions: 600 contracts, approximately $17.304 million, average price $29,108.44, liquidation price $32,119.96, unrealized profit approximately $161,000.
Less than 20 days after the ceasefire between the US and Iran, the situation has changed again: the US has intensified its attacks on Iran, revoked oil waivers, and increased the scale of its strikes fivefold.
PANews reported on July 8 that, according to Jinshi News, the United States launched a new round of airstrikes against Iran and revoked a waiver allowing it to sell oil globally. This move further jeopardizes the peace agreement between the two countries following frequent attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. Central Command issued a statement on the X platform stating that this "powerful strike" was intended to "impose a heavy price on attacks and harassment of merchant ships carrying innocent civilians in international waters," and that Iran's aggression was "unjustified, dangerous, and a clear violation of the ceasefire agreement." According to the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control on July 7, the U.S. revoked a general license authorizing the sale of Iranian oil, with the remaining transactions allowed to continue until midnight Eastern Time on July 17.
Trump did not mention terminating the interim Iran agreement again during the NATO summit.
According to market sources, Odaily Odaily reports that Trump did not mention terminating the interim Iran nuclear deal during the NATO summit, nor did he reiterate his criticisms of Spain. (Jinshi)