经济学家预计 FOMC 将维持鹰派基调，或进一步收紧政策
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The Federal Reserve's FOMC lowered its GDP growth forecasts for 2026-2028.
According to ChainCatcher, citing Jinshi, the Federal Reserve's FOMC has lowered its GDP growth forecasts for 2026-2028, with median forecasts of 2.2%, 2.3%, and 2.2%, respectively. In comparison, the March forecasts were 2.4%, 2.3%, and 2.1%.
The Federal Reserve's FOMC statement indicated that economic activity expanded robustly, but faced uncertainty due to the Middle East conflict.
According to ChainCatcher, citing Jinshi, the Federal Reserve's FOMC statement indicated that despite the high level of uncertainty brought about by the Middle East conflict, economic activity continued to expand at a solid pace.
The Federal Reserve's FOMC statement indicated that it will achieve price stability.
According to ChainCatcher, citing Jinshi, the Federal Reserve's FOMC statement indicated that the committee will commit to achieving price stability.
Ansem: A hawkish FOMC could lead to a broad decline in risk assets, and BTC may retest the range lows.
According to Mars Finance, trader Ansem wrote that the Warsh Movement and a hawkish FOMC could put pressure on risk assets, predicting a general decline, with BTC already showing relative weakness compared to most assets. He believes that BTC's failure to break through weekly resistance across multiple timeframes may lead to a retest of the lower end of the range.
The Federal Reserve's FOMC statement: Nine of the 18 FOMC participants expect a rate hike in 2026.
Odaily Odaily reports that the Federal Reserve's FOMC statement indicates that 9 out of 18 FOMC participants expect an interest rate hike in 2026. (Jinshi)
Analysts: The FOMC meeting may trigger a bearish market; Bitcoin needs to hold the $64,000 support level to maintain its bullish structure.
According to Mars Finance, Bitcoin fell below $65,000 on June 17th, approaching a key short-term support level ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Fed will announce its interest rate decision at 2:00 AM Beijing time on June 18th, a major catalyst for volatility this week. This FOMC meeting is also Kevin Warsh's first since becoming the new Fed Chair, making his post-meeting press conference speech as closely watched as the interest rate outcome. Trader Killa stated that the FOMC meeting may set the tone for market movements for the remainder of June. He pointed out that BTC is currently forming a bullish narrative around this event, but the outcome is usually priced in by the market before the news release. Killa noted that, historically, FOMC days typically bring more bearish than bullish reactions. Killa warned that BTC needs to maintain a bullish market structure from its current level of around $64,000; otherwise, after this reversal, there is a high probability of retesting the $60,000 low. Another trader, Niels, stated that the FOMC meeting coincides with the nearing of a US-Iran peace agreement, which may cause BTC to show some strength in the short term, but it could ultimately fall towards $55,000. However, analyst Cryptic Trades offers a more optimistic view, believing that BTC may continue to rebound after the FOMC meeting. They stated that BTC has encountered resistance near the daily bullish support zone formed by two key moving averages, but after this pullback, the next significant upward move is imminent.