「大空头」Michael Burry做空半导体盈利幅度最高约34.7%
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"Big Short" Michael Burry shorts Short Technology at $1051.87
According to BlockBeats, on July 3rd, Michael Burry, the inspiration for "The Big Short," stated that he shorted Short Technology at $1051.87 on Wednesday. "Although it has fallen considerably, I feel I have a fairly clear understanding of the ultimate outcome of this kind of situation," he said. He also added five more short positions. Yesterday, it was reported that Michael Burry recently expanded his short positions in the AI sector, short stocks including Tesla, Applied Materials, Caterpillar, and the semiconductor ETF SOXX. Burry stated that South Korea's recent announcement of an investment plan to build a large-scale chip industry cluster is "the beginning of the end" of the AI boom, and questioned whether the continuously expanding capital expenditure can bring corresponding returns. Burry also maintained his bearish stance on Nvidia and bet on a decline in SOXX through put options. He previously predicted that Nvidia and Palantir Technologies' stock prices would experience significant corrections in the coming years, believing that the current valuation of the AI sector carries a bubble risk.
"Big Short" Michael Burry short first short position on Caterpillar, while also short Nvidia, Applied Materials, Tesla, and other stocks.
According to BlockBeats, on July 1st, Michael Burry, the investor famous for his successful short of the US housing market and the inspiration for the book "The Big Short," announced that he has short Caterpillar, believing the construction equipment manufacturer has become one of the overvalued beneficiaries of the AI investment boom. Burry stated that he short Caterpillar stock at $1060.98, while also short Nvidia, Applied Materials, Tesla, and the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), preparing for what he believes is an increasingly overextended rally in AI-related stocks. In a SubStack article, Burry wrote, "Caterpillar caught my attention. I've never short Caterpillar before. It has consistently given me good returns on long in the past." Caterpillar's stock price surged 86% in the first half of 2026, making it one of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 this year. The stock's significant rise is attributed to investors increasingly viewing it as a proxy for global AI infrastructure development. Burry stated that the stock's valuation has reached a level that has caught his attention, sharing charts showing Caterpillar's price-to-sales ratio rising to its highest level in at least 30 years, while the stock price hit record highs. Burry also reiterated his concerns about semiconductor valuations. He stated that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is currently about 65% above its 200-day moving average, a level not seen before, only during the dot-com bubble of 2000. Burry said, "The immediate reason for today's rise is the massive spending announcement from South Korea. Well, I think this is the beginning of the end. It's just a matter of time."
Michael Burry, the "big short seller," has short Micron Technology stock.
PANews reported on July 3 that Michael Burry, the real-life inspiration for the protagonist of the movie "The Big Short," announced on Thursday that he had short Micron Technology stock at $1,051.87. Burry stated that the high price of put options was the reason for his short short, pointing to Micron's valuation, technical chart pattern, and long-term industry cycle as indicating significant downside risk. In a Substack post, Burry stated that Micron "perfectly embodies cyclicality," having experienced 34 pullbacks exceeding 30% in the past 42 years, and that its current price deviation from its 200-day moving average is the highest since 1984, "even at the peak of the dot-com bubble."
"Big Short" Michael Burry again questions SpaceX's valuation, but has not yet bought put options.
According to Mars Finance, on June 17th, Michael Burry, the investor famous for successfully short the US housing market and the inspiration for the book "The Big Short," stated that he does not hold any shares in SpaceX. He believes that even with questions raised about the company's nearly $3 trillion market capitalization, the options used to short the stock are still too expensive. Burry stated that a put option contract with a strike price of $100, expiring in December 2028, costs approximately $25 per contract, while the stock is trading at approximately $212. A similar contract expiring in June 2027 costs approximately $13 per contract, while a put option contract expiring in December 2026 costs approximately $6.75 per contract. "I'm tempted, but I'll pass. If I'm lucky, the SPCX index will stabilize around $200, which would reduce the volatility of the put option chain."
"Big Short" Michael Burry questions the valuations of SpaceX and Anthropic: Neither is worth $1 trillion.
According to Mars Finance, on June 1st, Michael Burry, the investor famous for his successful short of the US housing market and the inspiration for the book "The Big Short," recently expressed skepticism about the high valuations of SpaceX and Anthropic, believing that neither company has a long-term value exceeding $1 trillion. Regarding SpaceX, Burry stated in his Substack discussion, "Any further gains will come from market hype and technical factors." He believes that SpaceX's IPO prospectus does not show a reasonable basis for a valuation of $1 trillion to $2 trillion. According to SpaceX's previously disclosed S-1 filing, the company is projected to achieve revenue of $18.7 billion and a net loss of $4.9 billion in 2025, with the market generally expecting its IPO valuation to be around $2 trillion. Burry also expressed skepticism about Anthropic, the AI company that recently completed financing and reached a valuation of $965 billion. He believes that the large-scale model development model is "too costly and overly reliant on computing power." As computing resources become increasingly commoditized, the current demand for computing power in the AI industry may be sending the wrong signal, leading to over-construction and overcapacity in the coming years. Burry stated, "There is no guarantee that Anthropic's long-term value will approach $1 trillion, and it's not even highly likely." He also joked that before he's willing to pay $1 trillion for Anthropic, "I might have to count to $1 trillion first, and then reconsider in 240,000 years."
Michael Saylor: The biggest evolution for Bitcoin over the next decade will be stability at the protocol layer and expansion at the capital markets and application layers.
According to BlockBeats, on July 5th, Michael Saylor published an article stating that the biggest evolution of Bitcoin over the next decade will come from fewer changes at the protocol layer and a greater role in other areas. He believes that the Bitcoin base layer will become more robust, capital markets will continue to deepen, applications will expand, institutions will enter, and the world will be built on top of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is not a tech stock, a payment company, or a software platform racing to add features; it is a monetary network whose purpose is not to act quickly and break things, but to move slowly and without disruption. Saylor stated that Bitcoin has won its first major battle, and the world is increasingly understanding that Bitcoin is digital capital with attributes such as scarcity, durability, portability, divisibility, programmability, and global transferability. The strongest version of Bitcoin is not to "replace all payment tracks," but to become a neutral, global, scarce asset around which capital, credit, and commerce are organized. The base layer is not optimized for coffee payments, but designed for final settlement, reserve assets, collateral settlement, and final transfer of ownership. He believes that the four-year Bitcoin cycle is still important, but no longer the dominant model. Over the next decade, Bitcoin's price movements will be driven less by miner issuance and more by capital flows from ETFs, corporate treasuries, sovereign reserves, bank credit, derivatives, insurance, collateral, and global savings. Halvings will tighten supply, while capital flows will determine the growth trajectory. Digital lending will accelerate Bitcoin adoption, connecting Bitcoin capital to the broader financial system. Saylor states that the main issue for the next decade is not whether Bitcoin will survive, but whether economic exposure will remain linked to real Bitcoin or create too much "paper Bitcoin." Custody transparency, proof-of-reserve, risk management, capital structure, and counterparty risk will all become crucial. He predicts that by 2036, Bitcoin will be more widely held, more deeply institutionalized, more politically significant, and a major collateral asset in the digital lending market; while the underlying protocol itself may change less than anything else built around it.