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25岁AI股神也亏麻?Situational Awareness寻求新资金注入,创始人呼吁投资者「抓住买入机会」

火星财经消息,7 月 30 日,据《金融时报》报道,25 岁华尔街新晋 AI 股神、前 OpenAI 研究员 Leopold Aschenbrenner 创立的 AI 主题对冲基金 Situational Awareness 正在寻求新的资金注入。近期 AI 相关股票大幅回调后,这只以高集中度押注 AI 产业链著称的基金出现显著损失,正通过与投资者沟通和潜在资产出售等方式补充资本。 Situational Awareness 成立于 2024 年,投资逻辑来自 Aschenbrenner 对 AGI 加速到来的判断。该基金规模一度达到约 200 亿美元,截至 2026 年 6 月净回报高达 439%,曾是本轮 AI 行情中最受关注的明星基金之一。其持仓覆盖 Oracle、AMD、Nebius、Sharon AI 等 AI 基础设施和算力链相关公司,并使用杠杆放大仓位。 但 AI 交易近期急速降温,韩国 KOSPI、纳指 100 以及多只 AI 基础设施股票均出现大幅波动,Situational Awareness 也被卷入回撤。报道称,Aschenbrenner 在近期投资者沟通中承认市场波动加剧,同时将其描述为新的投资机会,并鼓励投资者在 8 月 1 日前投入新资金。 这场募资也成为 AI 资本开支交易退潮后的一个标志性事件。过去一年,市场愿意为算力、芯片、电力和云基础设施支付高估值;随着科技股回撤加深,资金开始重新审视 AI 产业链的回报周期、杠杆风险和持仓拥挤度。Situational Awareness 仍押注 AI 长期趋势,包括 Anthropic 潜在 IPO 等后续机会,但短期内,市场对高波动 AI 资产的容忍度已经明显下降。 值得注意的是,Situational Awareness 此前披露的 13F 文件中确实出现了大量看跌期权。其一季度持仓显示,基金对 SMH、英伟达、甲骨文、博通、AMD、台积电、美光等大型半导体和 AI 链条标的持有 PUT 头寸,名义敞口规模较大。这一结构一度被市场解读为「做多 AI 基础设施、同时对冲大型芯片股回调」的相对价值交易。 但看跌期权并不意味着基金可以完全避开损失。13F 披露的是期权对应标的的名义规模,并不披露权利金、行权价、到期日和 Delta,真实保护力度可能远低于表面数字。同时,13F 仅为 3 月 31 日的持仓快照,至 7 月 AI 股大幅回调时,相关 PUT 可能已经平仓、滚动或减仓,外部投资者无法仅凭一季报判断当前对冲状态。 更关键的是,基金此前重仓的多头集中在一批高波动 AI 基础设施股票上。包括 Bloom Energy、SanDisk、CoreWeave、IREN、Core Scientific、Applied Digital、Riot、CleanSpark 等标的,核心逻辑都与 AI 数据中心、电力、存储、GPU 云和矿企转型算力有关。这类股票在 AI 资本开支上行周期中弹性极强,但一旦市场开始质疑 AI 投资回报、融资环境和客户需求,跌幅往往会超过传统大型芯片股。
Disclaimer: The views above are the author's only and do not represent 711BTC. Nothing here constitutes investment advice.

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According to Odaily Odaily, John Wang, head of crypto business at prediction market platform Kalshi, wrote on the X platform that while Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) is widely considered a "top-tier venture capitalist" who successfully bet on star projects like Anthropic and Cursor, this narrative is inaccurate. The true driving force behind these investments and early-stage resource allocation is actually "AI stock market guru" Leopold Aschenbrenner, not SBF himself. Analysts believe this statement has sparked discussion within the crypto and venture capital communities, once again bringing the question of SBF's influence in early-stage investments in Silicon Valley and the crypto industry to the forefront of public opinion. It is understood that Situational Awareness, the AI ​​fund founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, has exceeded $20 billion in size, with quantitative giant Jane Street making a rare investment. Situational Awareness has achieved a 270% return this year and a cumulative return of over 1000% since its inception. Its equity bet on Anthropic contributed the most successful returns, accounting for one-fifth of its assets. Outside the public market, Situational Awareness also co-led an investment in AI chipmaker MatX with Jane Street and participated in a new round of financing for AI cloud computing provider Fluidstack.

06-30 16:07Important

SHAZ shares rose 14% in after-hours trading after Leopold Aschenbrenner's fund acquired an additional 19.9% stake.

According to Odaily Odaily, based on monitoring by blockchain analyst Ai Yi, on June 29th, SHAZ announced the completion of a $1.6 billion funding round to support its six-year strategic partnership with Nvidia. Eleven hours earlier, a fund managed by Leopold Aschenbrenner announced it had acquired an additional 19.9% ​​stake in SHAZ. The former saw a 1.45% increase, while the latter rose 14% in after-hours trading. The SEC requires funds holding more than 5% of SHAZ's shares to file a public report.

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Microsoft is leveraging OpenAI models to expand its business in China; ByteDance's annual spending may exceed $1 billion.

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Leopold Aschbrenner's fund of assets surged to $20 billion, with Anthropic stock comprising 20%.

According to Odaily Odaily, Leopold Aschbrenner's Situational Awareness Fund has achieved a cumulative return of approximately 270% this year, increasing its total assets to $20 billion. The fund currently holds approximately 20% of Anthropic's assets, and its investors include renowned quantitative trading firm Jane Street. (WSJ)

07-01 12:41Important

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More than 300 data center bans have emerged across the United States, and the construction of AI computing power facilities such as OpenAI Stargate has faced strong local resistance.

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