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美股光互连龙头COHR与LITE对比:收入差距正快速收窄,LITE利润弹性与密度更优

火星财经消息,8 月 14 日,分析师 qinbafrank 发文对比美股光互连板块两大龙头 Coherent(COHR)和 Lumentum(LITE),两者的定位差异决定了不同的投资逻辑:Coherent 是美股光子产业的规模与平台龙头,优势在于规模、产品广度、制造平台以及长期技术栈和客户覆盖;Lumentum 则是 AI 光学价值池中利润密度与盈利弹性更突出的龙头,在增速、毛利率、经营杠杆、当期经营质量和净流动性上明显领先。 两家龙头的体量差距正在快速收窄——2026 财年全年 Coherent 收入是 Lumentum 的 2.36 倍,2026 财年第四季度已降至 2.03 倍,而 2027 财年第一季度指引中点进一步收窄至 1.84 倍。按下一季度指引中点计算,Coherent 收入约为 Lumentum 的 1.84 倍,但隐含 Non-GAAP 营业利润仅约 1.04 倍;用约 2.03 倍的季度收入,Coherent 仅产生了 Lumentum 约 1.62 倍的 Non-GAAP 毛利润、1.21 倍的营业利润和 1.08 倍的净利润。这组对比清晰表明,Lumentum 在盈利质量与经营杠杆上显著优于 Coherent,而两者在收入与利润规模上的差距正在快速缩小。
Disclaimer: The views above are the author's only and do not represent 711BTC. Nothing here constitutes investment advice.

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