Bitcoin price hits 11-week high as US Treasury doubles debt buyback size
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BTC price loses 200-week trend line as 2022 repeats: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week
Bitcoin confirmed a weekly candle close below its 200-week moving average, copying the 2022 bear-market as traders warn of further BTC price downside next.
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 4.53%, a four-week high.
According to ChainCatcher, Gate market data shows that US Treasury yields continued to rise, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising 5.4 basis points to 4.533%, a four-week high.
A well-known trader stated that Strategy's OTC selling of cryptocurrencies has limited impact on spot prices, and Bitcoin could potentially reach as high as $65,600.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, renowned trader Killa (@KillaXBT) stated that if Bitcoin holds above last week's closing price (approximately $59,000), it could potentially reach $65,600. Furthermore, regarding the "historic sell-off of 3,588 BTC by Strategy," Killa clarified that Strategy did not sell through the open market but rather through institutional trading to avoid significantly impacting Bitcoin's price. This partly explains Bitcoin's initial drop followed by a rise last night. Killa, a quantitative trader specializing in BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on the X platform. In mid-April, he short Bitcoin at $74,688 and then went long during the market downturn on June 5th.
Bitcoin price drops to $62.5K as trader warns weekly close may spark more losses
Bitcoin falls further toward new August lows, ignoring positive US inflation trends while US stocks continue to circle all-time highs.
SpaceX was officially included in the Nasdaq 100 index this week; historical warnings point to post-inclusion volatility. TeraWulf's Q1 HPC leasing revenue surpassed mining's high-margin annualized revenue of $630 million for the first time.
According to ChainCatcher and BBX data, the world's largest IPO completed its index inclusion milestone yesterday, marking a historic turning point in the valuation logic of mining companies' AI transformation. Key developments are as follows: SpaceX, Inc. (NASDAQ: $SPCX) was officially included in the Nasdaq 100 index this week, becoming the first company in history to have its largest single IPO ($75 billion) included in the Nasdaq 100. CoinDesk also issued a historic warning: "The previous two largest additions to the index—Palantir ($PLTR) in December 2024 and Strategy ($MSTR) in early 2025—both experienced a period of decline after inclusion, rather than initiating a new round of growth." Analysts pointed out that passive funds tracking the Nasdaq 100 completed a "forced buy" at the time of inclusion, and without new fundamental catalysts, the stock price often corrects after the technical buying subsides. SpaceX currently faces specific risks including: a net loss of approximately $4.27 billion in Q1 2026 (primarily due to xAI integration expenses), a $2 billion bond issuance plan, and a 3.4% equity dilution from the $60 billion acquisition of Cursor/Anysphere; Morningstar maintains its fair value estimate of $62 per share, implying a downside of approximately 70% from the current market price. For the market holding SpaceX Bitcoin (18,712 coins, approximately $1.2 billion, custodied in Coinbase Prime), Nasdaq 100 inclusion will trigger larger-scale SPCX holdings by passive funds, further narrowing the indirect exposure of traditional index investors to Bitcoin assets. According to the latest analysis, TeraWulf Inc. (NASDAQ: $WULF) reported $21 million in high-performance computing (HPC) leasing revenue in Q1 2026, accounting for approximately 62% of its total revenue of $34 million. This marks the first time TeraWulf has surpassed Bitcoin mining revenue—a historic reversal in revenue structure since its transformation into an AI/HPC infrastructure company. This represents a 117% increase compared to the $9.7 million in HPC revenue in Q4 2025. The company currently has AI/HPC leases totaling over 522 megawatts signed with Core42 and Fluidstack, with an expected annualized high-margin revenue of approximately $630 million. Its energy mix consists of nuclear power and hydropower, with an average electricity cost of approximately $0.035/kWh, among the lowest of its peers in the mining industry. The company is also developing a new campus in Kentucky, adding approximately 480 megawatts of grid connection capacity; analysts have significantly raised their target price range, with Keefe Bruyette & Woods from $23 to $37, and Clear...
As oil prices fell, US Treasury yields fluctuated and the dollar strengthened.
According to Odaily data, the US dollar index is currently up 0.2%. The 10-year US Treasury yield is at 4.459%, higher than the closing price of 4.447% last Thursday. The 2-year US Treasury yield fell from 4.130% to 4.108%. As US markets reopened after the holidays, a Middle East peace agreement remained elusive, and last week's labor market data disappointed, US Treasury yields fluctuated, while the dollar rose slightly. Meanwhile, OPEC+ agreed to increase production, causing oil prices to fall. The Federal Reserve meeting minutes will be released on Wednesday, making this week relatively quiet in terms of data.