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Iran questions the sincerity of the United States and its refusal to negotiate has ulterior motives.

Odaily Odaily reports that Iranian Parliament Speaker Qassem Ghalibaf announced early on the 21st local time that US President Trump, through imposing blockades and violating the ceasefire agreement, is attempting to turn the negotiating table into a surrender table for Iran, or to find a pretext to reignite war. Currently, the US is frequently announcing plans to send a delegation to the negotiations, while Iran has stated its refusal to negotiate. Some analysts point out that there are multiple considerations and concerns behind Iran's statements: First, Iran questions the United States' lack of sincerity in negotiations. Iran once announced a conditional temporary opening of the Strait of Hormuz, but this move did not result in the United States lifting its blockade of Iranian ports. Second, there are negotiation tactics. The refusal to negotiate is often a significant bargaining chip outside the negotiating table. If Iran shows an eagerness to negotiate, the United States is likely to exert further pressure. In the absence of basic trust, both sides will engage in a series of probing maneuvers before negotiations, testing each other's bottom lines. Third, there are strong voices of hardliners and anti-American sentiment within Iran. Hardliners believe that Iran's premature statement to return to the negotiating table under continued pressure from the United States is a sign of compromise and concession. Currently, the US and Iran have disagreements on several issues, including the nuclear issue, passage through the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions against Iran. There is a serious lack of mutual trust between the two sides, and a significant gap exists between their expectations for achieving these goals through negotiations. Analysis suggests that the current situation may take several possible turns: One possibility is that both sides return to the negotiating table within the ceasefire period, or reach a consensus to extend the ceasefire and continue negotiations. However, the likelihood of both sides reaching a comprehensive and long-term agreement in the short term is low, and negotiations could break down again at any time due to one side's tough statements or actions. Second, the two sides are locked in a "limited-scale conflict." After the ceasefire expires, the military standoff and harassment between the US and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz will continue, and the fighting may reignite. Third, the conflict has escalated significantly and the situation is out of control. The US has continued to issue military threats against Iran recently, but US analysts believe that the Trump administration has relatively limited decision-making space for a large-scale escalation of the conflict due to factors such as rising war costs and increasing electoral pressure. (CCTV)
Disclaimer: The views above are the author's only and do not represent 711BTC. Nothing here constitutes investment advice.

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