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This Bitcoin bear market has lasted 237 days, the fourth longest in history, but the decline is the smallest ever.

According to a recent study by CoinGecko, Bitcoin has experienced seven bear markets since 2014. CoinGecko defines a bear market as a period in which Bitcoin's closing price remains below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) for more than 30 consecutive days. Data shows that as of June 28, 2026, the current 2025-2026 bear market has lasted 237 days, making it the fourth longest bear market in history. Bitcoin has fallen from its all-time high of approximately $124,800 in January 2025 to approximately $58,115 on June 25, representing a maximum drawdown of 53.43%, the smallest decline in any bear market. CoinGecko believes that the relatively mild decline in this bear market may be due to increased institutional participation, the gradual maturation of market infrastructure, and the influence of macroeconomic factors such as interest rate fluctuations and capital flows into artificial intelligence. In contrast, the three bear markets triggered by major industry events in 2014-2015, 2018-2019, and 2022-2023 all saw maximum declines between 76.7% and 83.6%. CoinGecko points out that historical data shows Bitcoin typically takes 65 to 166 days to regain its position above the 200-day moving average after confirming a temporary bottom. If the low of June 25th holds true, it could potentially regain this moving average as early as the end of August this year, but a further extended recovery period cannot be ruled out.
Disclaimer: The views above are the author's only and do not represent 711BTC. Nothing here constitutes investment advice.

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