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Opinion: The market is predicted to experience "extreme information asymmetry and a clear arbitrage window".

According to Odaily Research, blockchain-based prediction markets are attracting more speculators seeking returns beyond those of holding spot cryptocurrencies. Prediction markets are becoming a new speculative arena, leading to "extreme information asymmetry and obvious arbitrage windows" between retail investors and professional data-driven traders. The report points out that for quantitative traders, prediction markets can offer asymmetric returns that are more advantageous than the potential upside of spot tokens. For example, on the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, the "yes" share of whether the BNB token will reach $1,500 on December 31, 2025, was traded at a price of approximately $0.01, which means there could be a potential return of 100 times if the event occurs. However, the high win rates of some prediction market accounts have raised concerns about insider trading. Polymarket user AlphaRaccoon reportedly made over $1 million in a single day by betting on Google search trends, winning 22 out of 23 bets. Furthermore, Polymarket user ilovecircle has earned over $2.2 million in the past two months, maintaining a 74% win rate across bets covering politics, sports, and cryptocurrencies, leading to speculation that they are using machine learning models for cross-sector arbitrage and automated trading.
Disclaimer: The views above are the author's only and do not represent 711BTC. Nothing here constitutes investment advice.

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07-08 20:31

The Bank of Korea has released a regulatory proposal suggesting that personal stablecoin transactions exceeding $10,000 should be limited to transfers from verified wallets.

According to Mars Finance, the legal team of the Bank of Korea has published a research paper titled "Regulatory Scheme for Foreign Remittance Transactions Targeting Stablecoins," proposing regulatory recommendations for large-scale stablecoin transactions. The paper, referencing current South Korean foreign exchange control regulations, proposes constraints on stablecoin transfers exceeding $10,000 between individuals, requiring such transactions to be conducted only between officially certified wallets, along with a pre-reporting mechanism. The institution acknowledges that there are technical obstacles to fully controlling unregistered wallets, but due to anti-money laundering compliance requirements, it is necessary to strengthen restrictions on large-scale cross-border stablecoin fund flows. South Korean regulators have previously repeatedly stated the need to improve the monitoring system for cross-border crypto asset transactions using non-custodial wallets; this paper further refines and implements the regulatory approach.

07-08 20:22

Gate responded to online rumors of user asset theft: An urgent investigation is underway, and preliminary assessments indicate it is an isolated incident.

According to Foresight News , Gate responded to online reports of user assets being stolen, stating that the incident shows the customer made a withdrawal between 3:00 PM and 4:00 PM on July 7th, and reported the loss to online customer service at 5:00 PM on July 8th. Gate has initiated an investigation, and the incident is currently under urgent investigation. Preliminary assessments indicate it is an isolated case, there are no system security vulnerabilities, and the website is operating normally. Preliminary investigations suggest this incident may be related to a leak of user information; the specific details are under investigation. Gate will disclose further details as soon as the investigation concludes.

07-08 20:19

Justin Sun has staked $430 million in Ethereum on Lido, yielding an annualized return of approximately $9.5 million.

According to Odaily Lens monitoring, Justin Sun Sun has been continuously staking ETH through Lido Finance. 23 hours ago, Justin Sun staked another 13,000 ETH, worth approximately $23.08 million, bringing his total staked ETH on Lido to 247,436 stETH, currently valued at approximately $430.2 million. Data shows that since February 2023, this staking position has generated a total of 11,307 stETH staking profits, worth approximately $26.82 million. Based on the current profit level, Justin Sun position has an annualized return of approximately $9.5 million.

07-08 20:17

Guangdong: By the end of 2027, the province's urban digital infrastructure support capabilities will be significantly enhanced.

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Morgan Stanley reiterated its "overweight" rating on RKLB and raised its bullish price target to $293.

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