Polymarket's probability that "Israel will close its airspace by June 30" has risen to 64%, with a 24-hour increase of 52%.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of Israel closing its airspace by June 30th has risen to 64% on Polymarket, a 52% increase in 24 hours; additionally, the probability of Israel closing its airspace by June 15th has risen to 59%, also a 52% increase in 24 hours. Airspace closure refers to the closure of all or most of Israel's civilian airspace, including flight cancellations and a complete suspension of commercial aviation, encompassing transit, arrival, and departure from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply to all flights within Israel or to a significant portion of eligible Israeli airspace. Limited flight cancellations, delays, temporary ground groundings, or closures in specific areas do not qualify for a "Yes" rating. A few exceptions within a large-scale closure, such as allowing some pre-approved flights to continue, will not affect the closure's validity. Warnings, no-fly zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions issued by airlines or other countries outside of Israel are not sufficient grounds for a "Yes" rating. Following the ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran on April 8, Iran launched missiles at Israel again today, the first time in two months. Trump stated that his advice to Iran is that since the missiles have been launched, they should return to the negotiating table and reach an agreement. Trump also said he would call Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and tell him not to retaliate. Odaily Seer, the Prophet Channel, continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing them in.