返回 7*24 快讯
重要来源MarsBit

Bitunix analyst: The market is starting to repric employment, but what really needs to be observed is global liquidity.

According to Mars Finance, on July 3rd, the US added 57,000 non-farm payroll jobs in June, significantly lower than market expectations. Data for the previous two months was also revised downwards, but the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.2%. On the surface, the job market shows signs of cooling, but the decline in the labor force participation rate means that the improvement in the unemployment rate is not entirely due to increased employment, making this non-farm payroll data present a relatively contradictory signal. The market has therefore lowered its expectations for further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. However, with inflation still above the policy target, the direction of monetary policy remains highly dependent on subsequent economic data and officials' speeches. Regarding the Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed President Daly reiterated that current policy remains at a slightly restrictive level and will continue to adjust policy based on inflation and economic data, without changing its stance based on a single report. Meanwhile, Trump continues to push for personnel changes at the Federal Reserve and stated that Warsh is facing a "hostile board," meaning political factors may continue to influence market judgments on future monetary policy. In the short term, the market will pay closer attention to whether subsequent speeches by Federal Reserve officials begin to revise their interest rate hike expectations. In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin continues to consolidate within a range. Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, while the market lowered some expectations for interest rate hikes, it did not trigger a unified buying spree in risk assets. Currently, the market is more focused on subsequent US economic data, policy signals from the Federal Reserve, and whether changes in global liquidity will alter risk appetite. Until the policy direction becomes clearer, the crypto market may continue to trade within a range, awaiting new macroeconomic catalysts.
免责声明:以上内容仅为作者观点,不代表 711BTC 的任何立场,不构成与 711BTC 相关的任何投资建议。

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