Strategy Leaves Bitcoin Untouched, Raises $334M Selling MSTR Stock
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Strategy raises $334M through stock sales but buys no Bitcoin
Proceeds funded STRC dividends and repurchases, while $149.1 million was added to Strategy’s US dollar reserve, which reached $4.8 billion.
A well-known trader stated that Strategy's OTC selling of cryptocurrencies has limited impact on spot prices, and Bitcoin could potentially reach as high as $65,600.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, renowned trader Killa (@KillaXBT) stated that if Bitcoin holds above last week's closing price (approximately $59,000), it could potentially reach $65,600. Furthermore, regarding the "historic sell-off of 3,588 BTC by Strategy," Killa clarified that Strategy did not sell through the open market but rather through institutional trading to avoid significantly impacting Bitcoin's price. This partly explains Bitcoin's initial drop followed by a rise last night. Killa, a quantitative trader specializing in BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on the X platform. In mid-April, he short Bitcoin at $74,688 and then went long during the market downturn on June 5th.
Analysis: Bitcoin may be entering a period of bottoming out; Strategy's sale of Bitcoin did not trigger panic.
According to a recent report by Bitfinex Alpha, as Odaily by Odaily, Strategy recently conducted its first large-scale Bitcoin sale, but the market showed strong resilience and no significant selling pressure emerged. Bitcoin rebounded after hitting a low of $57,803 on July 1st, and its performance in July remains positive, consistent with the views expressed in Bitfinex Alpha's previous report (No. 212), suggesting a potential market correction this month. Data shows that Strategy may have executed a BTC sale between June 29 and July 2, but the price of Bitcoin still saw a positive weekly increase during the same period, rising approximately 10.5% from its cycle low. Furthermore, on the last trading day of last week and the first trading day of this week, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded inflows exceeding $200 million per day, ending a previous 10-day streak of net outflows, with a cumulative outflow of $2.73 billion. June was a challenging month for Bitcoin ETFs, with net outflows for nine consecutive weeks, reaching nearly $4.06 billion in June alone. However, these redemptions primarily reflect authorized participants (APs) returning ETF units and a decrease in passive funding demand, rather than indicating a large-scale immediate sale of Bitcoin through on-chain markets. The market is currently unable to fully determine whether investors have digested recent changes in fund flows, but spot trading volume does not fully reflect the impact of the previous large-scale outflows. With changes in ETF asset allocation and a return to positive fund flows, the Bitcoin market may face new variables in July. After a brief dip following the announcement of the Strategy sale, BTC prices quickly stabilized and have now returned to the lower end of the first quarter trading range, exceeding pre-announcement levels. ETF fund flows have recorded net inflows for three consecutive trading days, and the $61,000 level has become a crucial dividing line between bullish and bearish forces in the market. Bitcoin is currently in a downtrend on a higher timeframe, but the market structure is changing. Approximately 10.83 million BTC are currently in an unrealized loss state, while about 9.22 million BTC remain profitable, marking the first time that the number of losing BTC has exceeded the number of profitable BTC. Historically, this phase typically indicates significant pressure on spot holders and often approaches the bottoming phase of a bear market. However, a true macro bottom still needs confirmation from key indicators, such as Bitcoin consistently recovering to its current "True Market Mean" of around $71,500. While the current market environment may dampen sentiment in the short term, it also creates conditions for long-term funds to absorb selling pressure. As long-term holders and some whale re-accumulate, Bitcoin is shifting from low-conviction holders to high-conviction investors, and the next two to three months may be a crucial window for confirming a temporary bottom.
Cryptocurrency stocks fell in pre-market trading; STRATEGY down 4.1%.
According to data from Odaily Odaily, cryptocurrency stocks fell in pre-market trading, following Bitcoin's more than 2% decline. COINBASE GLOBAL fell 3.5%, BIT DIGITAL declined 3.6%, and STRATEGY fell 4.1%. RIOT PLATFORMS fell 4.4%, HUT 8 CORP fell 4.9%, and MARA HOLDINGS fell 3.5%.
Strive CRO: Strategy's sale of 3,500 Bitcoins helps buy more BTC.
Odaily Odaily News | _2024111120230_ | An article published on the X platform states that Strive's CRO, PunterJeff Walton (@PunterJeff), explained that Strategy's recent sale of 3,500 Bitcoins is actually positive and will help it buy more BTC. He stated that this will provide more support for STRC and its future growth potential, enabling it to buy more BTC, and MSTR shareholders should take a positive view of this.
Bitcoin emerged as the "most resilient" asset tonight, while US chip stocks experienced a "stock market crash," and crypto stocks followed suit, with US stocks falling across the board.
According to BlockBeats data, on July 7th, US stocks opened lower and continued to decline on Tuesday. The Nasdaq 100 fell over 2%, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell over 6%, SPCX fell 5.7%, MRVL fell 10.25%, Western Digital fell 11%, SanDisk fell 13.9%, Micron fell 8.8%, and Oracle fell 4%. Bitcoin only fell nearly 1% after the US stock market opened, a drop comparable to gold. However, US cryptocurrency stocks generally fell in tandem with the broader market, with SBET falling 5.2%, GEMI falling 6.12%, CRCL falling 5.35%, MSTR falling 3.3%, and COIN falling 4%.