Polymarket's World Cup title prediction market trading volume surpasses $3.9 billion, with France's probability of winning rising to 35.1%.
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Data: Signa platform users have created 854 World Cup-related prediction markets.
According to Foresight News , Signa's latest data shows that the popularity of the 2026 FIFA World Cup-themed prediction market continues to rise as the World Cup knockout stages unfold. To date, platform users have created 854 World Cup-related prediction markets. The cumulative trading volume has reached $788,400, with 6,200 trades completed. The number of participating users has increased to 3,620, and the total value locked (TVL) has reached $755,100. Signa stated that the World Cup is becoming a significant catalyst for the growth of the prediction market, and that more innovative marketing and interactive activities centered around the tournament and trending events will be launched in the future to bring users a richer experience.
A smart money investor bought approximately $150,000 worth of tickets in the World Cup quarter-final match where France defeated Morocco.
PPP's market prediction tool monitoring shows that in Polymarket's "2026 World Cup Quarter-Final France vs. Morocco" prediction event, a smart money account (address: 0x34c5ca7736ab9f4c4e059ef40fa5e4a679010832) with a win rate exceeding 75% purchased approximately $150,000 worth of bets on France defeating Morocco, with an average opening price of 63 ￠. This market only refers to the results of matches within the first 90 minutes of regular time (including stoppage time). France defeated Paraguay 1-0 in the previous round to advance, with Mbappe currently leading the tournament's top scorer list. The team's squad depth and defensive structure are its main advantages. Morocco eliminated Canada 3-0 in the previous round, advancing to the quarter-finals for the second consecutive World Cup, but a recent injury to a key striker has affected market expectations. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead and seize opportunities.
OKX World Cup prediction event adds a separate prize pool for the quarterfinals, with a total value of approximately 225,000 U.
According to official sources, as the 2026 Odaily Cup enters the quarterfinals, OKX's World Cup prediction activity will add five independent prize pools, covering predictions for the four final teams and multiple single-match predictions. These prize pools are sponsored and co-built by ecosystem partners including Fabric Protocol, Block Street, AIW3, Midnight, and Nesa, with rewards in multiple cryptocurrencies such as ROBO, USDT, and Night, totaling approximately 225,000 USDT. In addition, predictions for the championship team, the Golden Boot award, and other categories are open for users to participate in.
EU Regulator Says Prediction Markets Are 'Rife With Inside Trading'
ESMA also asks why Kalshi and Polymarket block some EU countries but not others, and notes VPNs get around the blocks.
CFTC, US soldier accused of illegal Polymarket bet spar over interpretation of prediction markets
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a soldier who allegedly used nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, but the regulator is trying to weigh in on the criminal case.
Ex-White House Teleprompter Operator Fined for Prediction Market Insider Trading
Gabriel Perez used his access to Trump's speeches before delivery to bet on "presidential mention market" contracts, profiting more than $107,500 before the CFTC caught up with him.