OKX World Cup prediction event adds a separate prize pool for the quarterfinals, with a total value of approximately 225,000 U.
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Data: Signa platform users have created 854 World Cup-related prediction markets.
According to Foresight News , Signa's latest data shows that the popularity of the 2026 FIFA World Cup-themed prediction market continues to rise as the World Cup knockout stages unfold. To date, platform users have created 854 World Cup-related prediction markets. The cumulative trading volume has reached $788,400, with 6,200 trades completed. The number of participating users has increased to 3,620, and the total value locked (TVL) has reached $755,100. Signa stated that the World Cup is becoming a significant catalyst for the growth of the prediction market, and that more innovative marketing and interactive activities centered around the tournament and trending events will be launched in the future to bring users a richer experience.
BM Wallet's prediction market has officially launched, with the World Cup as its initial focus.
According to official sources, BM Odaily, a self-hosted Web3 wallet, has launched a prediction market feature. Users can directly participate in predicting real-world events within the wallet, with all transactions settled in stablecoins. Assets do not need to be transferred out, and users retain control of their private keys at all times. This feature integrates with the prediction market Polymarket, accessing its deep liquidity. The initial focus is on the World Cup, but also covers cryptocurrency, politics, and other sectors. It is currently available in select regions.
Kalshi's trading volume hit a record high of $9.4 billion in June, with the World Cup driving a surge in prediction market trading.
According to Mars Finance, on July 5th, driven by the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the trading volume of the US prediction market platform Kalshi rose to approximately $9.4 billion in June, an increase of nearly 77% from approximately $5.3 billion in May, setting a new record. During the same period, Polymarket International's trading volume increased from approximately $3.5 billion to approximately $4.3 billion. Data shows that the World Cup has become the main catalyst for the growth in prediction market trading. As this World Cup expands to 48 teams for the first time, the number of matches and knockout stage scenarios has increased, driving active trading in single-match contracts. For example, the round of 16 match between Canada and Morocco saw trading volumes exceeding $48 million on Kalshi and $26.8 million on Polymarket. However, the rapid increase in trading volume has also further fueled regulatory controversy. Several US states continue to advocate that sports event contracts should be subject to betting regulations, rather than the derivatives market regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Meanwhile, the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) recently warned that some event-based contracts may fall under the existing regulatory scope of binary options. Analysts believe that the World Cup demonstrated the ability of prediction markets to attract liquidity during major events, but whether sports prediction contracts should be regulated as financial derivatives or betting remains a core regulatory issue for the industry.
Coinbase's AI-powered market prediction alert feature misreported World Cup results before the games, sparking user criticism.
PANews reported on July 6th that, according to BeInCrypto, Coinbase's AI-powered prediction market alerts erroneously announced a World Cup match result over the weekend, sending a false score of Norway 3-2 against Brazil before the match had even started, sparking user criticism. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong responded that he and his team are investigating the matter. This error comes against the backdrop of Coinbase's heavy promotion of prediction markets as the "ultimate truth tool," with Armstrong having previously stated that "when it comes to real money, results are far more reliable than traditional media." Coinbase has previously faced controversy due to issues with its AI coding tools and push notification misalignments; this incident further raises questions about the security of AI in financial products.
Polymarket's World Cup title prediction market trading volume surpasses $3.9 billion, with France's probability of winning rising to 35.1%.
According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Odaily Odaily, the cumulative trading volume in the 2026 World Cup champion prediction market has exceeded $3.9 billion. France's probability of winning has risen to 35.1%, corresponding to a trading volume of over $94.5 million; Argentina ranks second with 16.8%, with a trading volume of $99.99 million; and Spain ranks third with 12.3%.
A smart money investor bought approximately $150,000 worth of tickets in the World Cup quarter-final match where France defeated Morocco.
PPP's market prediction tool monitoring shows that in Polymarket's "2026 World Cup Quarter-Final France vs. Morocco" prediction event, a smart money account (address: 0x34c5ca7736ab9f4c4e059ef40fa5e4a679010832) with a win rate exceeding 75% purchased approximately $150,000 worth of bets on France defeating Morocco, with an average opening price of 63 ￠. This market only refers to the results of matches within the first 90 minutes of regular time (including stoppage time). France defeated Paraguay 1-0 in the previous round to advance, with Mbappe currently leading the tournament's top scorer list. The team's squad depth and defensive structure are its main advantages. Morocco eliminated Canada 3-0 in the previous round, advancing to the quarter-finals for the second consecutive World Cup, but a recent injury to a key striker has affected market expectations. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead and seize opportunities.