JPMorgan Chase: Lowers Q4 gold price forecast to $4,500/oz
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JPMorgan Chase: Raises Apple's price target from $325 to $345
According to Mars Finance, on July 7, JPMorgan Chase raised its target price for Apple (AAPL.O) from $325 to $345.
JPMorgan: Open source weight commercialization exhibits a "winner-takes-all" phenomenon; Zhipu target price raised to HK$2,000, MiniMax target price cut to HK$300.
According to BlockBeats, on July 8th, JPMorgan Chase released a research report stating that currently competitive models in the market can expand adoption through open-source weighting and continue to monetize through official APIs, partner channels, enterprise deployments, and workflow products; while weaker models face faster price comparisons and traffic fragmentation. JPMorgan Chase raised its revenue forecasts for Zhipu from 2026 to 2030 by 3% to 9%, and narrowed its adjusted loss forecasts for 2026 and 2027 to RMB 3.711 billion and RMB 3.141 billion respectively. The 2028 forecast was revised from a loss of RMB 1.287 billion to a profit of RMB 2.367 billion. The target price was raised from HKD 1800 to HKD 2000, maintaining an "Overweight" rating. The report believes that the performance of GLM-5.5/6, KimiK3, and DeepSeekV4.1 will be key indicators of whether Zhipu can maintain its leading position. JPMorgan lowered its revenue forecasts for MINIMAX-W (2027-2030) by 2% to 8%, and reduced its target price from HK$400 to HK$300, while maintaining a "neutral" rating. The company noted that the M3 model offers a permanent 50% discount, reflecting that the model has not yet created a significant capability premium for leading domestic competitors. JPMorgan believes that if MiniMax can narrow the capability gap, normalize the discount, maintain API usage, and demonstrate stronger workflow stickiness through MiniMaxCode, its outlook could turn positive.
EIA lowers its price forecasts for WTI and Brent crude oil for this year and next.
According to Odaily Odaily, the EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects WTI crude oil prices at $76.26/barrel in 2026, up from the previous forecast of $88.32/barrel. The 2027 WTI crude oil price is projected at $60.76/barrel, up from the previous forecast of $74.39/barrel. The 2026 Brent crude oil price is projected at $81.91/barrel, up from the previous forecast of $95.39/barrel. The 2027 Brent crude oil price is projected at $64.76/barrel, up from the previous forecast of $79.39/barrel. (Jinshi)
JPMorgan Chase: Maintains Overweight Rating on Tencent; WeChat AI Agent Launch Reduces Risk Premium
According to Mars Finance, JPMorgan Chase issued a report stating that the uncertainty surrounding Tencent's WeChat AI Agent lies in whether it can truly integrate into the WeChat platform, the extent of its transaction permissions, and whether Tencent can build a supply system that the AI Agent can utilize without relying on existing e-commerce platforms to open their inventory. With Tencent beginning beta testing of the WeChat AI Agent in June, the bank's confidence in its value creation framework has greatly increased. The agent service is now sufficiently visible, clearly distinguishing between existing parts and those still needing development. This transforms the WeChat AI Agent from an AI option with no clear timeline into a phased rollout project with observable milestones. The bank believes that the initial impact of the WeChat AI Agent launch on the share price is more likely to come from a reduction in risk premium and an increase in valuation multiples, rather than short-term earnings per share growth. The bank maintains its "Overweight" rating on Tencent with a target price of HK$690. (Cailian Press)
Swiss private bank Julius Baer: The Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates, and gold prices are expected to rebound.
According to Mars Finance, citing Jinshi, Swiss private bank Julius Baer predicts that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates and the dollar may weaken, thus gold prices are expected to recover lost ground.
JPMorgan Chase and HSBC: Market pullbacks provide a window for investment, not a trend reversal.
According to BlockBeats, on July 6th, as we enter the second half of the year, several Wall Street institutions believe that the recent market correction is more of a repositioning opportunity than a trend reversal. Both JPMorgan Chase and HSBC Holdings believe that short-term volatility in global stock markets will not change the overall upward outlook, but the two institutions differ in their specific allocation strategies. Mislav Matejka, Head of Global and European Equity Strategy at JPMorgan Chase, and his team stated that they have maintained a "buy on dips" view since the outbreak of the Iranian conflict. The bank believes that the global economy remains resilient, the situation in the Middle East has not significantly damaged economic growth, and central banks have not shifted to more aggressive tightening policies. Strategists expect that global and emerging market stock markets are likely to reach new highs in the future, and believe that the attractiveness of international markets is increasing. They also believe that the South Korean market, after its recent correction, is worth buying on dips. In terms of sectors, JPMorgan Chase believes that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has presented another buying opportunity after the recent correction, but remains relatively cautious about large-cap US technology stocks. The bank advises caution regarding AI-driven sectors, including software, business services, and media. Conversely, the basic resources sector has regained its investment value after recent adjustments, and gold is becoming more attractive. Strategists also point out that overall investor positioning remains cautious, with the market holding substantial cash reserves. If a summer correction occurs, funds are expected to flow back into the stock market. Max Kettner, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy at HSBC Holdings, is more focused on the recovery opportunities in leading AI companies. He stated that the market is entering its summer rally in July and August, and AI hyperscale cloud service providers have already experienced a cumulative correction of approximately 20%, which is considered excessive. Kettner believes that current market expectations for these companies' earnings have been significantly lowered, and these companies still maintain strong profitability. If they can prove that their massive AI capital expenditures are gradually translating into revenue, it will further drive valuation recovery.