Semiconductor silicon wafer concept stocks continued to strengthen, with GRINM Silicon hitting the 20% daily limit.
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Edge AI concept stocks fluctuated and strengthened, with Rockchip hitting the daily limit.
Mars Finance reports that AI-related stocks on the edge of the market rallied in early trading, with Rockchip Technology hitting the daily limit, followed by Transsion Holdings, Allwinner Technology, Pinming Technology, Espressif Systems, VeriSilicon Holdings, and Hengxuan Technology. In related news, Broadcom announced an expanded strategic partnership with Apple, extending its custom ASIC chip contract to 2031. Broadcom will develop and supply custom AI acceleration chips for multiple generations of iPhones, Macs, and Vision Pro products, strengthening its AI computing power deployment on the edge. (Cailian Press)
EDA concept stocks continued to rise, with Huada Jiutian approaching its 20% daily limit.
Mars Finance reported on July 6th that EDA concept stocks continued to rise, with Huada Jiutian approaching its 20cm daily limit, following Gelun Electronics' 20cm limit. Guangli Microelectronics, Anlu Technology, and Shentong Metro also saw gains. In terms of news, a research report from BOCOM International Securities pointed out that logic folding is the core engineering practice of Tao's Law. It distributes gate circuits on the critical path to vertically stacked active layers, achieving gate-level three-dimensional interconnection through ultra-fine pitch hybrid bonding. Advanced packaging is the technological foundation for logic folding, while the EDA toolchain represents the biggest incremental opportunity for logic folding. (KeGuBao Broadcast)
Hong Kong Stocks Midday Review: Hang Seng Index down 0.42%, Samsung concerns drag down memory semiconductors.
Mars Finance reported on July 7th that Hong Kong's three major stock indices rose in the morning but then continued to decline. By midday, the Hang Seng Index and the H-share Index were both down 0.42%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.28%. The performance of heavyweight tech stocks, which had been rebounding , long. Kuaishou plummeted over 9%, JD.com fell over 1%, Meituan rose over 4%, and Tencent rose nearly 3%. Samsung's surged profits could not mask underlying concerns, leading to a sharp decline in memory semiconductor stocks. Southern Securities' double- long positions in Hynix and Samsung Electronics both plummeted over 19%, Montage Technology fell over 10%, and GigaDevice fell over 8%. PCB concept stocks, gold stocks, and photovoltaic stocks all fell; mobile game stocks and AI application concept stocks bucked the trend and were active. (TechStock Treasure Broadcast)
JPMorgan Chase: Semiconductor stocks' continued outperformance of cloud service providers may be unsustainable; AI trading may see sector rotation.
According to a report titled "Fund Flows and Liquidity: The Need for AI Rotation" released by JPMorgan Chase on July 3rd, semiconductor stocks—specifically, AI chip and memory manufacturers—have consistently and almost steadily outperformed hyperscale cloud service providers since September of last year. This performance gap appears unsustainable in the long term. The report argues that since semiconductor trading is inherently part of a broader AI market, the current divergence is raising concerns about its sustainability. JPMorgan Chase states that this gap could narrow in two ways. In a positive scenario, as hyperscale cloud providers, AI model providers, and users improve in commercialization, revenue, and profitability, their performance will begin to catch up, gaining a larger share of overall AI value-added. In a negative scenario, if the semiconductor outperformance comes at the expense of customers such as hyperscale cloud providers, AI model providers, or end users, it could dampen their willingness to invest in capital expenditures, ultimately hindering demand for semiconductor companies' products. The report notes that while JPMorgan Chase's internal view leans towards a more positive scenario, analysts' consensus forecast indicates a significant slowdown in hyperscale cloud service provider capital expenditure growth starting next year, which, if true, is closer to a negative scenario. The report states that hyperscale cloud service provider capital expenditure growth is projected to reach 100% in 2026, but may drop to 22% in 2027 and further to 7% in 2028. If this slowdown path holds true, semiconductor transactions could face significant pressure, triggering a more significant and sustained correction in AI transactions across the stock and bond markets. JPMorgan Chase also states that the price of AI computing power will be crucial for hyperscale cloud service providers to commercialize their AI capital expenditures. Higher computing power prices will enable cloud service providers to maintain or increase profit margins. Furthermore, the report states that the rate of money creation in the United States is projected to rise from $1.6 trillion in 2025 to $1.8 trillion in 2026, continuing to support US financial assets, particularly US stocks.
In pre-market trading on the US stock market, semiconductor, memory, and optical communication sectors continued their decline, with Micron and SanDisk both falling by more than 5%.
According to Mars Finance, on July 8th, based on BIT (bit.com) market data, semiconductor stocks generally fell in pre-market trading in the US. Marvell Technology (MRVL) fell 4.46%, Arm (ARM) fell 3.51%, Intel (INTC) fell 3.47%, Lam Research (LRCX) fell 3.11%, and Applied Materials (AMAT) fell 2.85%. The memory sector saw the largest declines, with SanDisk (SNDK) falling 5.59%, Micron Technology (MU) falling 5.28%, Western Digital (WDC) falling 4.53%, and Seagate Technology (STX) falling 4.19%. Optical communication concept stocks also came under pressure, with Astera Labs (ALAB) down 4.57%, Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) down 4.47%, Credo (CRDO) down 4.42%, Corning (GLW) down 4.22%, Ciena (CIEN) down 3.69%, and Coherent (COHR) down 3.44%.
AI PC concept stocks surged, with Hongxi Technology hitting the 30cm daily limit.
According to Mars Finance, stocks of AI server and switch computing hardware continued to be active, driving a surge in AI PC concept stocks. Hongxi Technology hit its 30% daily limit, Thunderobot Technology rose over 15%, and Huaqin Technology, Huwei Intelligent, Yidao Information, and Lianyun Technology followed suit. (Cailian Press)