SpaceX IPO quiet period ends, Wall Street institutions scramble to upgrade ratings
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With the IPO quiet period about to end, a wave of SpaceX research reports will influence market pricing.
Odaily Odaily reports that since SpaceX's record-breaking IPO last month, investors have largely been in a "blind men and the elephant" situation, lacking sufficient financial forecasts to determine the company's fair value. This situation will change next week when the blackout period for bank analysts involved in underwriting SpaceX's $86 billion IPO ends. The IPO was led by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, and JPMorgan Chase, with 18 other banks participating. Starting next Tuesday, investors will have a flood of new research reports, target price forecasts, and growth expectations, which will help reveal the short-term and multi-year trajectory of SpaceX's stock price. "Everyone's talking about what this company might look like in 2030, not what it can do in the next 12 months," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth. He added, "This is an investment focused on a brighter future, but it still needs to be watched over the next four years." (Jinshi)
Wall Street has given SpaceX an "initially bullish" rating, with Morgan Stanley predicting the stock price could rise by as much as 87%.
According to a report by ChainCatcher on July 7th, SpaceX has gained initial support from Wall Street, with global brokerages beginning to rate the rocket and AI company led by Elon Musk and reaching a clear consensus: buy the stock. At least six brokerages, including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, have begun rating the stock with a buy rating, endorsing SpaceX's long-term growth narrative, despite lingering questions surrounding the company's profitability, execution, and valuation. Morgan Stanley has set a target price of $300, one of the highest on Wall Street, implying an 87% upside from Monday's closing price of $160.42. Morgan Stanley projects SpaceX's share price to be $75 in a bear market scenario and $600 in a bull market scenario, with revenue potentially reaching $319 billion by 2030 and $3.3 trillion by 2040.
Following its IPO, investors have been gauging SpaceX's valuation in the dark. Next week, investment bank research reports and target prices will be released, providing guidance for the stock price trend.
Mars Finance reported on July 2nd that since its record-breaking IPO last month, SpaceX investors have largely been operating in the dark, with few financial forecasts available to help determine the stock's true value. This will change next week when the blackout period for bank analysts involved in underwriting the $86 billion IPO ends. The deal was led by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, and JPMorgan Chase, with 18 other banks participating. Starting next Tuesday, investors are expected to receive a new batch of research reports, target prices, and growth forecasts, which should help determine the stock's likely trajectory in the short term and over the next few years. (Wide Angle Observation)
SPCX fell more than 5% intraday, despite several Wall Street firms giving it a "buy" rating and high target price today.
According to BlockBeats, on July 7th, based on BIT (bit.com) market data, SPCX fell over 5% after the US stock market opened, currently trading at $152.3. Earlier today, major Wall Street investment banks released their assessments of SpaceX (SPCX). Raymond James gave a target price as high as $800, almost viewing the company as a combination of next-generation space infrastructure, communication networks, and orbital computing platforms; while most mainstream banks were more cautious, with target prices mainly concentrated in the $200 to $300 range, including Morgan Stanley's $300, Deutsche Bank's $255, JPMorgan and RBC's $225, Goldman Sachs' $205, and Citi's $200.
US pre-market news at a glance: Samsung's earnings report triggered a collective weakness in semiconductor stocks in pre-market trading; SpaceX officially debuts on the Nasdaq 100 today.
According to BlockBeats, the following are key market news items before the US stock market opened on July 7th: 1. Samsung released its Q2 earnings forecast, showing an operating profit increase of over 1800% year-on-year, with single-quarter profits exceeding the total of the previous three years. Simultaneously, the company's revenue also increased by 129% year-on-year, reaching 171 trillion won. Affected by the semiconductor sell-off triggered by the "sell-off" of Samsung's earnings, chip-related technology stocks generally weakened in pre-market trading. The three major US stock futures indices showed mixed results in pre-market trading: Dow Jones futures rose 0.41%, Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.9%, and S&P 500 futures fell 0.09%. 2. SpaceX officially debuted on the Nasdaq 100 before the US stock market opened today, with Wall Street institutions collectively bullish. Most institutions believe that SpaceX is no longer just a traditional aerospace company, but a platform company with the potential for rocket launches, Starlink satellite internet, AI infrastructure, and future space computing. 3. DeepSeek is secretly developing its own inference chip. If successful, this would reduce reliance on external suppliers and give it more cost-effective hardware control. However, the project is still in its early stages and faces manufacturing and memory acquisition restrictions due to US export controls. 4. UBS recommends investors buy SK Hynix's upcoming American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) and sell its South Korean shares, as these new shares are expected to trade at higher prices. 5. JPMorgan strategists say the recent weakness in semiconductor stocks should be seen as a buying opportunity, as the chip upcycle is not yet over, and truly meaningful new supply may not appear until 2028. 6. US ADP employment change for the week ending June 20 was 21,000, compared to 30,750 in the previous week. 7. BlackRock will launch an ETF tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, aiming to meet investors' growing demand for participation in the AI-driven stock market rally and challenge Invesco's dominant position. 8. Amazon is returning to the US bond market to raise funds for its artificial intelligence infrastructure. The company will issue eight benchmark bonds with maturities ranging from 3 to 40 years, raising at least $25 billion in the dollar bond offering. 9. Global brokerages have begun coverage research on Elon Musk's SpaceX (SPCX.O), and a preliminary consensus has formed on Wall Street: buy the stock. At least six brokerages, including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, have given it a buy rating, optimistic about its long-term growth prospects, although doubts remain about profitability and valuation.
Multiple Wall Street firms are collectively advocating for "buying on dips" in the semiconductor sector: the long-term logic of AI remains unchanged, but investment is entering an era of selective buying.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, amidst the recent continuous correction in the semiconductor sector, several Wall Street institutions have voiced their opinions, generally believing that the current adjustment presents an opportunity for investors to "buy on dips." However, unlike past recommendations to allocate across the entire semiconductor sector, institutions generally believe that AI investment has entered a phase of selective stock picking. Goldman Sachs stated that AI chip trading has entered a more selective phase, and does not recommend continuing to "buy a basket" of semiconductor stocks. They remain optimistic about specific sub-sectors such as CPUs, ASICs, memory, and semiconductor equipment, specifically highlighting AMD and Applied Materials. JPMorgan Chase believes that the recent correction in semiconductor stocks presents a good entry window, as AI chip demand remains in a long-term upward cycle, with new capacity not expected to be significantly released until around 2028, and the industry's supply and demand structure remains healthy. Bank of America maintains its optimistic outlook on the long-term boom cycle of AI semiconductors, believing the industry is still in the middle of an 8- to 10-year growth cycle, and the global semiconductor market size is expected to continue to expand. They recommend focusing on industry leaders such as Nvidia, Broadcom, Lam Research, and KLA. UBS stated that the long-term investment logic for AI remains unchanged, and the short-term fluctuations in the semiconductor sector actually provide long-term investors with opportunities to gradually build positions. They recommend taking advantage of market corrections to buy on dips. Morgan Stanley believes that the long-term prospects for AI chips remain positive, but with the sector's significant rise, the market will focus more on earnings realization capabilities. Funds may gradually rotate from some chip stocks to AI infrastructure beneficiaries such as cloud computing, and investors should pay more attention to individual stock selection. Overall, several Wall Street institutions, including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and UBS, have recently released similar signals: the semiconductor correction is not the end of the AI rally, but rather provides a new window for investment. However, the market has moved from a phase of "broad-based sector gains" to one of "selecting leading companies," and future performance will depend more on companies' earnings realization capabilities and the sustainability of demand for AI infrastructure.