Fidelity Investments呼吁美国参议院通过Clarity Act
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The window for the passage of the Clarity Act is narrowing: whether it can pass before Congress's summer recess remains uncertain.
According to Foresight News , citing CoinDesk, the CLARITY Act's original goal of being signed on July 4th has been missed, and the window for its passage before the midterm elections is rapidly closing. While most of the Senate's work can proceed behind the scenes during the summer recess, the House process is currently stalled. Negotiators remain optimistic about passing the bill by 2026, but key coordination needs to be completed before the Senate recess on August 7th. If the bill fails to pass before the midterm elections, and the Democrats gain control of Congress after the elections, they will likely demand significant changes to the bill.
The probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026 has risen to 52%.
According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Mars Finance on July 5th, the probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026 has risen to 52%, an increase of 12 percentage points from July 3rd. In related news, the Major County Sheriffs Association (MCSA) stated that it no longer opposes the Clarity Act after initially expressing concerns about how it would affect investigations into illicit finance. Analysts believe that the MCSA's change of stance reduces a key obstacle in the Clarity Act's progress, increasing its likelihood of reaching the Senate vote. However, opposition from the banking industry to stablecoin yield products and DeFi regulation remains a major uncertainty.
Data: SpaceX transfers Bitcoin again after 6 months, completing an $88 test transaction.
According to Mars Finance, Arkham monitoring shows that a wallet address tagged with SpaceX transferred Bitcoin for the first time in six months. This address sent a test transaction of approximately $88 worth of BTC to another SpaceX-tagged address.
Strive CRO: Strategy's sale of 3,500 Bitcoins helps buy more BTC.
Odaily Odaily News | _2024111120230_ | An article published on the X platform states that Strive's CRO, PunterJeff Walton (@PunterJeff), explained that Strategy's recent sale of 3,500 Bitcoins is actually positive and will help it buy more BTC. He stated that this will provide more support for STRC and its future growth potential, enabling it to buy more BTC, and MSTR shareholders should take a positive view of this.
Wintermute: Bitcoin's rise is more in line with the characteristics of a "relief rally" than the start of a new bull market.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, Wintermute released a market analysis stating that the latest US non-farm payroll data significantly missed market expectations, coupled with Warsh's speech being interpreted as dovish, driving a general rebound in global risk assets, with the crypto market performing the best. Bitcoin and Ethereum have both significantly outperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices recently. Bitcoin's current rally has a more solid foundation, mainly driven by continued whale buying, options fund flows towards call options, and improved on-chain data. The end of net outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs also boosted market sentiment. The cooling US job market has further reduced market expectations for interest rate hikes this year, while Warsh reiterated the 2% inflation target at the Sintra Forum but did not release more hawkish signals, which investors interpreted as a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. In the crypto market, on-chain data shows that whale wallets have accumulated over 270,000 BTC near the 200-week moving average, while options market funds have shifted from hedging positions to call options with strike prices of $60,000 to $70,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum's rise is largely driven by institutional narratives, including the official launch of Ethereum Institutional and the continued progress of institutional tokenization infrastructure. However, the Ethereum Foundation's recent layoffs of approximately 20% and budget cuts of about 40%, along with previous outflows from ETH ETFs, still reflect some pressure on its fundamentals. This round of gains is more characteristic of a "relief rebound" than the start of a new long-term bull market. Improved macroeconomic environment, easing tensions in the Middle East, continued institutional investment in Ethereum, and low liquidity during the summer have all contributed to the market recovery. However, from a funding perspective, Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen cumulative outflows of approximately $2.73 billion this year. Until ETF fund flows continue to improve and form a trend, the market should still view the current situation as a sentiment correction rather than a structural reversal, and remain cautious about the future.
A well-known trader stated that Strategy's OTC selling of cryptocurrencies has limited impact on spot prices, and Bitcoin could potentially reach as high as $65,600.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, renowned trader Killa (@KillaXBT) stated that if Bitcoin holds above last week's closing price (approximately $59,000), it could potentially reach $65,600. Furthermore, regarding the "historic sell-off of 3,588 BTC by Strategy," Killa clarified that Strategy did not sell through the open market but rather through institutional trading to avoid significantly impacting Bitcoin's price. This partly explains Bitcoin's initial drop followed by a rise last night. Killa, a quantitative trader specializing in BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on the X platform. In mid-April, he short Bitcoin at $74,688 and then went long during the market downturn on June 5th.