West Main Self Storage 增持 0.155 枚比特币，总持仓达 16.033 枚 BTC
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Michael Saylor: If Bitcoin's long-term price increase exceeds 3.3%, BTC capital gains could fund STRC dividends indefinitely.
According to ChainCatcher, Bitcoin Treasuries.NET posted on the X platform that Strategy's Michael Saylor stated that if Bitcoin's long-term price increase exceeds 3.3%, BTC capital gains can fund STRC dividends indefinitely. Even if BTC's annual price increase is 0%, Strategy will still have dividend funds for 31 years.
VanEck executive: Strategy's $135 million Bitcoin sale last week did not use up its BTC Monetization Program quota.
According to ChainCatcher, Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, stated on the X platform that, based on Strategy's latest 8-K filing, Strategy's $135 million Bitcoin sale last week did not utilize the $1.25 billion BTC Monetization Program quota. This is because the program only restricts sales used to replenish cash reserves; sales directly used to pay dividends are not included in this limit. Sigel points out that this means Strategy's actual Bitcoin sales capacity exceeds the commonly understood $1.25 billion.
Analysis: Demand in the US market remains weak, making it difficult for Bitcoin's July rally to continue.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, multiple indicators suggest that Bitcoin's July rally remains fragile. One of the most closely watched indicators, the Coinbase Premium Index, has been negative for 50 consecutive days. This indicator measures the price difference of BTC on the US trading platforms Coinbase and Binance. The continued underperformance of BTC on Coinbase compared to Binance indicates relatively weak demand in the US market. Meanwhile, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen net outflows for eight consecutive weeks, whereas historically, Bitcoin bull runs have typically been accompanied by a consistently positive Coinbase Premium Index. Japanese bond yields continue to rise, with the 10-year Japanese government bond yield reaching a 30-year high, pushing up borrowing costs in the US, UK, and Germany. If US Treasury yields continue to rise, it could pose resistance to BTC. Bitfinex analysts stated that structural institutional buying remains unverified until BlackRock's IBIT resumes its sustained inflows. Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital stated that if the spot Bitcoin ETF continues its trend following last Friday's return to inflows, the short-term outlook remains constructive. The agency added that if BTC clearly reclaims $64,000 this week, it will further boost market sentiment and alleviate market concerns about Strategy (MSTR), a publicly traded Bitcoin holding company.
ABTC, a Bitcoin mining company backed by the Trump family, increased its holdings by 500 BTC.
Odaily Odaily reports that American Bitcoin (ABTC), a Bitcoin mining company backed by the Trump family, has increased its holdings by 500 BTC, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to 8,000. (BTCtreasuries)
Analysis: Bitcoin's 365-day Sharpe ratio has fallen to its lowest level since 2022, historically corresponding to multiple bear market bottoms.
According to BlockBeats, on July 6th, data from CryptoQuant showed that Bitcoin has fallen approximately 28% year-to-date, with its 365-day rolling Sharpe Ratio briefly dropping to around -21, its lowest level since the end of 2022, and currently remaining close to -20. The Sharpe Ratio measures an asset's risk-adjusted return. A negative value means investors are taking on higher volatility risk, but the actual return is lower than that of risk-free assets (such as 10-year US Treasury bonds). Given the current US Treasury yield of approximately 4.45%, this indicator reflects a significant deterioration in Bitcoin's risk-return performance over the past year. However, CryptoQuant points out that historically, a Sharpe Ratio falling to such an extreme negative value often indicates that market selling pressure is nearing exhaustion. Similar levels have appeared near the bottoms of the bear markets in 2015, 2019, and 2022, subsequently accompanied by the start of a new upward cycle for Bitcoin.
Analysis: Amidst record outflows from ETFs, whale snapped up 270,000 BTC, signaling a structural divergence in Bitcoin's future.
PANews reported on July 5th, citing CoinDesk, that amidst a continued outflow of institutional funds from the US, Bitcoin whale have accumulated over 270,000 BTC (approximately $16.7 billion) in the past two weeks, a stark contrast to the record outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Analysis indicates this divergence exhibits historical cyclical characteristics: while institutional funds withdraw, long-term holders and whale accounts continue to accumulate, resembling a fund redistribution structure commonly seen at the bottom of previous cycles. On-chain data shows that although the spot premium remains negative, indicating weak buying pressure, large wallets continue to increase their Bitcoin holdings, suggesting the market is currently in a structural phase of "institutional deleveraging and long-term fund accumulation."