某聪明钱购入4.8万美元英雄联盟LCK第三赛段HLE战胜DK
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On Polymarket, the probability of "BLG achieving a 'Golden Road' (Grand Slam)" has risen to 21%, an 8% increase in the last 24 hours.
According to PPP's market prediction tool, the League of Legends MSI (Mid-Season Invitational) World Championship has officially begun. The probability of BLG achieving a "Golden Road (Grand Slam)" event on Polymarket is currently reported at 21%, up 8% in the last 24 hours. In today's MSI match, BLG defeated LCK team T1 3-2, advancing to the upper bracket of the MSI playoffs. Previously, BLG won the 2026 League of Legends Global Vanguard. The event is judged as "yes" if BLG completes the "Golden Road" this year. This means BLG must win all major League of Legends esports events by 2026. In other words, the team's players need to win all regional tournaments and participate in all three major international tournaments: the Vanguard, MSI, and Worlds. This information will likely come from official League of Legends esports websites, but reliable reports such as those on Liquipedia can also be consulted. Odaily Seer continuously focuses on the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Polymarket Smart Money Discovery: High-Speed Trading, Ultra-High Sharpe Ratio Strategy
PPP Discovers Smart Money! "High-Speed Swing Trading, Ultra-High Sharpe Ratio" Strategy Profitability: Top 1.0% Prediction Accuracy: Top 2.6% Drawdown Resistance: Top 0.3% Win Rate: Top 2.4%
Polymarket pUSD total supply surpassed $500 million, and the total number of holders exceeded 1 million.
According to Mars Finance, data from @defioasis shows that the total supply of Polymarket pUSD has surpassed $500 million, with over 1 million holders. 567 addresses hold more than 100,000 pUSD, representing 0.06% of the addresses and accounting for 55.34% of the total pUSD balance. Addresses holding more than 1,000 pUSD account for 2.76%, representing 90.34% of the total pUSD balance. 51.96% of holders hold less than 10 pUSD, representing only 0.19% of the total pUSD balance. pUSD represents the cash flow balance of Polymarket users. Although some users have all their funds tied up in positions, this still reflects the extreme wealth disparity in the prediction market.
Polymarket launches Bitcoin Lightning Network instant deposits and integrates the Spark protocol.
BlockBeats reported on July 8th that prediction market platform Polymarket announced support for instant, self-custodied deposits via the Bitcoin Lightning Network, powered by the Spark protocol. Compared to the previous on-chain deposit method, which required 3 to 6 block confirmations and took approximately 10 to 60 minutes, the new solution achieves near-instantaneous deposits, lowering the deposit threshold and transaction costs. According to reports, Spark performs checks for double-spending risk, fees, and Replace-by-Fee (RBF) during transaction broadcasting, achieving "zero-confirmation" deposits. It also supports on-chain, Lightning Network, and stablecoin payment channels, eliminating the need for the platform to operate its own Lightning Network nodes. Polymarket stated that this move will further improve the efficiency of Bitcoin users' fund utilization and enhance its competitiveness against rival Kalshi.
Yi Lihua: Bitcoin needs a strong breakout above 68,000 to confirm a reversal; otherwise, it will likely test lower levels again.
According to BlockBeats, on July 7th, Yi Lihua, founder of Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital), stated, "(Bitcoin) is currently still in a downtrend on the weekly chart. Only a strong breakout above 68,000 will lead to a decent reversal. If it fails to break through, it will retest the bottom. Hopefully, we won't see a terrible situation like falling below 47,000." "Regardless, in the coming months, we'll be fully prepared to buy the buy the dips, and be greedy when others are fearful. Besides mainstream coins, we're also looking for coins buy the dips for a 100x increase in the next bull market. Render, which we invested in during the last dip, saw a maximum increase of nearly 180x. Although most coins are worthless, a very few offer significant opportunities. First, they must have fallen by more than 95% due to market conditions. Second, the founders must be highly capable, their direction must align with trends and essential needs, such as AI, and ideally, they should be financially sound and profitable."
Polymarket's World Cup title prediction market trading volume surpasses $3.9 billion, with France's probability of winning rising to 35.1%.
According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Odaily Odaily, the cumulative trading volume in the 2026 World Cup champion prediction market has exceeded $3.9 billion. France's probability of winning has risen to 35.1%, corresponding to a trading volume of over $94.5 million; Argentina ranks second with 16.8%, with a trading volume of $99.99 million; and Spain ranks third with 12.3%.