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传奇投资人Ron Baron大胆预测:SpaceX未来10至15年估值或达4万亿美元

Odaily星球日报讯 Baron Capital 创始人、传奇投资人 Ron Baron 近日对 SpaceX 未来增长前景做出激进预测,认为这家由埃隆·马斯克创立的太空公司未来 10 至 15 年估值可能达到 4 万亿美元级别。 Baron 长期看好 SpaceX,此前曾表示,公司可能在未来 10 至 15 年实现 10 万亿至 30 万亿美元估值增长,并称 SpaceX 有机会成为全球规模最大的企业之一。Baron 的乐观逻辑主要来自 SpaceX 旗下 Starlink 卫星互联网业务、可重复使用火箭技术以及未来太空基础设施市场。他认为,随着全球互联网连接需求增长以及 AI 计算需求扩张,太空经济可能成为新的长期增长空间。巴伦资本集团 Baron Capital 此前已重仓投资 SpaceX。该机构自 2017 年开始投资 SpaceX,并表示相关投资已获得大幅回报。Baron 此前称,SpaceX 投资组合价值已成为其基金的重要组成部分,并预计公司上市后仍具备长期增长潜力。Baron Funds 不过,市场人士指出,SpaceX 达到数万亿美元估值仍面临重大挑战,包括 Starlink 商业化速度、火箭发射成本、太空数据中心等新业务落地能力,以及高估值对应的执行风险。目前,围绕 SpaceX 的长期价值预期正成为资本市场关注焦点,支持者认为其正在从传统航天企业转型为融合卫星通信、AI 基础设施和太空经济的平台型公司。(Thestreet)
Disclaimer: The views above are the author's only and do not represent 711BTC. Nothing here constitutes investment advice.

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07-06 19:19

Nasdaq makes special arrangements for SpaceX: $42 billion in passive funds were invested; the real test will be the unlocking of the shares on August 6.

According to Mars Finance, on July 6th, fund managers tracking the Nasdaq 100 index will complete a mandatory rebalancing after the market closes on Tuesday, with approximately $4.3 billion passively buying SpaceX (SPCX) shares. Tens of millions of US investors holding Nasdaq funds in 401(k), IRA, or regular accounts will become SpaceX shareholders "passively" without their knowledge. Starting July 7th, SpaceX will officially become a Nasdaq 100 component stock—the fastest company to be added to a major US index in history, with related funds holding approximately 0.5% to 0.7% of the index. Previously, Nasdaq required new stocks to be listed for at least three months and have at least 10% public shareholding before inclusion in the index. However, the new rules that took effect on May 1st significantly lowered the threshold—as long as the market capitalization ranks within the top 40 of existing component stocks, only 15 trading days and 5 days' advance notice are required for "fast inclusion." This rule was implemented exactly six weeks before SpaceX's IPO on June 12th. Critics argue that this window is "too short to complete price discovery," even going so far as to call it "the most shameless manipulation of major indices," benefiting the company, existing shareholders, and the exchange, while passive fund holders are forced to bear the price costs. SpaceX's publicly traded shares account for only 3% to 5%, and with the float multiplier, passive buying far exceeds the actual float's capacity. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 remains unchanged, maintaining its existing 12-month observation period and four consecutive quarters of GAAP profitability requirements. SpaceX reported a net loss of $4.28 billion in the first quarter and a projected loss of $4.94 billion for the full year of 2025, meaning it may not meet the S&P inclusion criteria until mid-2027 at the earliest. Analysts point out that the real test will come on August 6th—when the company releases its first quarterly earnings report, and approximately 20% of insider shares will be released from lock-up, potentially reversing the supply-demand balance due to the disappearance of passive buying and potential selling pressure.

07-08 19:39

Jingce Electronics: Plans to acquire a portion of the equity of Shanghai Jingce and raise supporting funds; stock trading suspended.

According to Mars Finance, Jingce Electronics announced that it is planning to acquire a portion of the equity of its holding subsidiary, Shanghai Jingce Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd., through a combination of share issuance, convertible bonds, and cash payment, and to raise supporting funds. This is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring and related-party transaction. Due to the uncertainty of the matter, the company's stock and convertible bonds (Jingce Convertible Bond 2) will be suspended from trading on July 9, 2026. The transaction plan is expected to be disclosed within 10 trading days.

07-08 10:54

Jiming Health established a microelectronics company in Shanghai with a registered capital of 10 million yuan.

According to Mars Finance, Tianyancha App shows that Shanghai Jiming Microelectronics Co., Ltd. was established on July 7th, with Tian Yunfei as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million RMB. Its business scope includes integrated circuit chip design and services, software development, import and export of goods, and import and export of technology. Shareholder information shows that the company is wholly owned by Jiming Health.

07-08 09:21

Analysis: SpaceX's inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 index presents Bitcoin investment opportunities for passive index investors.

PANews reported on July 8th that, according to Bitcoin Magazine, SpaceX officially joined the Nasdaq 100 index on July 7th, after disclosing that its balance sheet held 18,712 bitcoins. JPMorgan Chase estimates that this index rebalancing will drive approximately $4.3 billion in passive inflows into funds and ETFs tracking the Nasdaq 100. This means that institutional capital has gained structural exposure to Bitcoin through corporate treasury channels. With SpaceX's addition, the number of companies holding Bitcoin treasuries in the Nasdaq 100 has increased to three (SpaceX, Tesla, and Strategy). Analysts point out that index inclusion creates demand driven by rules rather than active allocation, and Bitcoin holdings combined with strong fundamentals can improve a company's market visibility and liquidity.

07-07 22:42

SpaceX IPO quiet period ends, Wall Street institutions scramble to upgrade ratings

According to Odaily Odaily, with the end of the 25-day quiet period following SpaceX's (SPCX) June IPO, Wall Street analysts have begun releasing formal research reports, with several major brokerages giving it a positive rating, indicating that institutional investors remain optimistic about the company's long-term growth potential. As underwriters for the IPO, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley both gave SpaceX a buy-equivalent rating. Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan set a target price of $205, while Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas gave a target price of $300. In addition, Bank of America, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan Chase, UBS, and other institutions also initiated coverage, giving buy or equivalent ratings. Raymond James Financial gave the most optimistic forecast, with analyst Brian Gesuale initiating coverage of SpaceX with a "Strong Buy" rating and a target price as high as $800, believing that SpaceX will become "one of the most representative industrial infrastructure companies of the 21st century." Analysts believe that the market's optimism about SpaceX is mainly based on its strategic layout in areas such as rocket launches, Starlink satellite internet, and government contracts. At the same time, the company's communications business can provide a continuous source of revenue and support future expansion of launch scale. As of March 31, 2026, SpaceX held 18,712 bitcoins. Wall Street believes that the concentrated coverage following the IPO quiet period provided a window for institutional investors to systematically assess SpaceX's valuation for the first time, and the fact that almost all major institutions simultaneously gave positive ratings is rare for large IPOs. (CoinDesk)

07-07 19:35

SK Hynix's roadshow presentation slides revealed: The motivation for listing stems from a dual pursuit of valuation reassessment and capital expansion.

According to Odaily Odaily, SK Hynix's US IPO roadshow presentation slides have been leaked. It is reported that Baillie Gifford Overseas Limited, Coatue Management, and Situational Awareness Partners have individually (but not jointly) expressed their intention to subscribe for American Depositary Shares (ADSs) in this offering, with a total value of up to US$7 billion, at the initial public offering price. According to disclosed information, SK Hynix's IPO is driven by a dual motivation: valuation reassessment and capital expansion. It has long faced a valuation discount, currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 6.2, lower than Micron Technology's 7. Measured by forward price-to-sales ratio, its 3.6 is also lower than Micron's 4.6. The fundamental reason for this valuation gap lies in the obstacles faced by US investors in directly investing in Korean stocks. Furthermore, the funds raised will be invested in expanding domestic production capacity in South Korea, including 45.5 trillion won in capital expenditure and 11.9 trillion won in EUV lithography machine procurement. (leinews)