Ethereum recovers above $4,000
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The probability of Tesla and SpaceX announcing a merger before the end of September has dropped to 10% on Polymarket, and the stock has fallen 30% in the past 24 hours.
According to data from Polymarket's prediction market tool, the probability of Tesla and SpaceX officially announcing their merger by...? has decreased to 10% (a 30% drop in 24 hours) compared to the previous prediction of September 30, 2026; the probability of announcing the merger within the year, before December 31, 2026, has decreased to 25% (an 18% drop in 24 hours). Previously, it was reported that SpaceX would be officially included in the Nasdaq 100 index on July 7th. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
Data: Signa platform users have created 854 World Cup-related prediction markets.
According to Foresight News , Signa's latest data shows that the popularity of the 2026 FIFA World Cup-themed prediction market continues to rise as the World Cup knockout stages unfold. To date, platform users have created 854 World Cup-related prediction markets. The cumulative trading volume has reached $788,400, with 6,200 trades completed. The number of participating users has increased to 3,620, and the total value locked (TVL) has reached $755,100. Signa stated that the World Cup is becoming a significant catalyst for the growth of the prediction market, and that more innovative marketing and interactive activities centered around the tournament and trending events will be launched in the future to bring users a richer experience.
Ethereum Institutional has launched a core team recruitment drive, focusing on institutional market development and technical positions.
According to Foresight News , Ethereum Institutional, a non-profit organization focused on Ethereum, is hiring to build its core team. The hiring focus in the coming weeks will be on technical roles such as General Market Development (GTM) in major financial centers, marketing and community engagement, and solutions architecture and technical project leadership. According to a previous report by Foresight News , Ethereum Institutional was officially established on July 1, positioned as an institutional-level unified entry point for the Ethereum ecosystem.
Analysis: The AI investment boom is cooling down, and the market is reassessing the sustainability of chip and data center spending.
According to Odaily Odaily, the AI infrastructure investment boom is cooling down, and the market is beginning to reassess the sustainability of chip and data center spending. As investors re-examine whether AI infrastructure investment can be sustained, "AI deals" covering the semiconductor, memory chip, and data center industry chain are showing signs of cooling. Recently, AI-related chip stocks such as Micron Technology (MU) and SanDisk (SNDK) have been under pressure. Samsung Electronics previously reported record second-quarter results, but revenue fell short of market expectations, causing its stock price to drop nearly 7%, dragging down the entire AI chip sector. Market concerns are growing that the current AI boom, driven by GPUs, high-bandwidth memory (HBM), and data center construction, may face repricing as cloud computing giants (Hyperscalers) may slow their investments in AI infrastructure. Meanwhile, South Korean memory chip giant SK Hynix's stock price has fallen about 25% from its all-time high ahead of its US IPO, which is also attracting some funds away from existing chip stocks. Analysts point out that after SpaceX's massive IPO boosted valuations of AI-related assets, investors are reassessing the growth logic for the next phase of the AI market. If the AI investment fervor cools further, some funds may flow back from the AI industry chain to other risky assets, including crypto assets. (CoinDesk)
Opinion: Ethereum is testing a key resistance level; a break above this level could see it rise to $2245.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, crypto analyst Alicharts stated that Ethereum is currently testing resistance at the 0.8 MVRV pricing band around $1796. If the daily closing price is above this level and successfully holds as support, it will strengthen the bullish case and could potentially initiate a move towards the Ethereum realization price, namely $2245. Alicharts further points out that a break above both $1796 and $1816 would trigger a bullish breakout. From a technical perspective, such a move would also increase the probability of ETH breaking through the channel top at $1844 and starting its march towards the $2245 realization price.
Ethereum breaks through $1800
According to BlockBeats, on July 7th, based on HTX market data, Ethereum broke through $1800, with a 24-hour increase of 1.4%.