Bitcoin Surges Toward $70K as $1.14 Billion in Crypto Shorts Get Rekt in an Hour
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Analysts: Stablecoin market capitalization shrinks by over $3 billion per month, Bitcoin's rebound lacks "fuel" support.
PANews reported on July 8th that CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that since mid-May, the stablecoin market has shifted from a source of liquidity to a source of liquidity depletion. The 30-day average inflow into stablecoin exchanges has fallen from $3.2 billion to $2.65 billion, 31% lower than the annual average of $3.86 billion; the combined market capitalization of USDT and USDC is shrinking at a rate exceeding $3 billion per month. The analyst points out that Bitcoin's 21% drop since mid-May is a direct consequence of this "fuel" shortage. Currently, the market is losing liquidity on two levels simultaneously: fewer new stablecoins are flowing into exchanges, and the dollar base itself is contracting. Improvement requires a reversal of both indicators—the 30-day average inflow returning above the annual average, and the monthly change in market capitalization returning to positive territory.
Wintermute: Bitcoin's rise is more in line with the characteristics of a "relief rally" than the start of a new bull market.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, Wintermute released a market analysis stating that the latest US non-farm payroll data significantly missed market expectations, coupled with Warsh's speech being interpreted as dovish, driving a general rebound in global risk assets, with the crypto market performing the best. Bitcoin and Ethereum have both significantly outperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices recently. Bitcoin's current rally has a more solid foundation, mainly driven by continued whale buying, options fund flows towards call options, and improved on-chain data. The end of net outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs also boosted market sentiment. The cooling US job market has further reduced market expectations for interest rate hikes this year, while Warsh reiterated the 2% inflation target at the Sintra Forum but did not release more hawkish signals, which investors interpreted as a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. In the crypto market, on-chain data shows that whale wallets have accumulated over 270,000 BTC near the 200-week moving average, while options market funds have shifted from hedging positions to call options with strike prices of $60,000 to $70,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum's rise is largely driven by institutional narratives, including the official launch of Ethereum Institutional and the continued progress of institutional tokenization infrastructure. However, the Ethereum Foundation's recent layoffs of approximately 20% and budget cuts of about 40%, along with previous outflows from ETH ETFs, still reflect some pressure on its fundamentals. This round of gains is more characteristic of a "relief rebound" than the start of a new long-term bull market. Improved macroeconomic environment, easing tensions in the Middle East, continued institutional investment in Ethereum, and low liquidity during the summer have all contributed to the market recovery. However, from a funding perspective, Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen cumulative outflows of approximately $2.73 billion this year. Until ETF fund flows continue to improve and form a trend, the market should still view the current situation as a sentiment correction rather than a structural reversal, and remain cautious about the future.
Crypto Biz: Bitcoin’s $116M self-custody wake-up call
A $116 million Bitcoin wallet exploit puts self-custody under scrutiny as ETF inflows rebound, Strategy eyes more BTC and miners chase billions in AI deals.
Bloomberg: Quantum computing puts approximately 34% of the existing Bitcoin supply at risk of being hacked.
PANews reported on July 7th, citing Bloomberg, that quantum computing is considered a new threat that could potentially crack the cryptographic algorithms of crypto assets such as Bitcoin. Quantum computers are expected to far surpass traditional computers in decrypting complex mathematical problems, and theoretically, could deduce private keys from public keys, thereby stealing on-chain assets. Wallets with early address formats and those that reuse addresses are at the highest risk. Galaxy Digital estimates that approximately 34% of circulating Bitcoin, worth about $470 billion, may become targets for future quantum attacks. Coinbase has established an advisory committee, and Strategy, where Michael Saylor works, has also launched a related risk project.
Bitcoin emerged as the "most resilient" asset tonight, while US chip stocks experienced a "stock market crash," and crypto stocks followed suit, with US stocks falling across the board.
According to BlockBeats data, on July 7th, US stocks opened lower and continued to decline on Tuesday. The Nasdaq 100 fell over 2%, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell over 6%, SPCX fell 5.7%, MRVL fell 10.25%, Western Digital fell 11%, SanDisk fell 13.9%, Micron fell 8.8%, and Oracle fell 4%. Bitcoin only fell nearly 1% after the US stock market opened, a drop comparable to gold. However, US cryptocurrency stocks generally fell in tandem with the broader market, with SBET falling 5.2%, GEMI falling 6.12%, CRCL falling 5.35%, MSTR falling 3.3%, and COIN falling 4%.
Cryptocurrency financial institution Bitcoin Suisse obtains Abu Dhabi ADGM financial services license
Odaily Odaily reports that Bitcoin Suisse, a cryptocurrency financial services provider, announced that its subsidiary, BTCS (Middle East) Ltd., has received a Financial Services License (FSP) from the Abu Dhabi Global Markets (ADGM) Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA). This license authorizes BTCS to provide regulated digital asset financial services, including custody, spot trading, and derivatives execution and hedging services, to qualified institutional and professional investors. (Businesswire)