The escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine has drawn attention from risk markets, with Trump speaking separately with Putin and Zelensky.
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Putin briefed Trump on the battlefield situation, and Trump said he would continue to mediate the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
According to BlockBeats, on July 5th, Russian Presidential Aide Ushakov stated that Putin briefed Trump on the true situation on the battlefield, noting that Russian armed forces are steadily advancing along the entire front, liberating settlements one after another. Ushakov stated that European countries are acting based on a flawed understanding of the overall situation and the actual conditions along the line of contact. He said that Ukraine and its European supporters are betting on prolonging and escalating the conflict, including through terrorist attacks against civilians. Ushakov stated that the liberation of Konstantinovka is a crucial stage in the liberation of the entire Donetsk People's Republic territory, and that regardless of the stubbornness of the Kyiv regime, Russian forces will conquer the remaining Ukrainian fortified areas. Trump reiterated his willingness to assist in ending the conflict as soon as possible and resolving the crisis peacefully. Trump stated that his special envoy Witkov and son-in-law Kushner are ready to travel to Moscow at the appropriate time to continue mediation efforts.
Bitunix Analyst: Canceling Iranian Oil Waivers and Deteriorating Hormuz Situation Increase Risk Asset Volatility
According to BlockBeats, on July 8th, global markets were focused on the renewed deterioration of the situation in the Middle East. The US not only expanded its military strikes against Iran but also revoked waivers for Iranian oil sales, further escalating security risks in the Strait of Hormuz. International oil prices surged by approximately 5%, reflecting the market's re-inflation of energy supply uncertainty. The situation is no longer just a simple military conflict; rather, it involves a simultaneous increase in risks to energy transportation and the global supply chain. Iran continues to strengthen its claims to control the Strait of Hormuz, while the US military has raised the local shipping threat level to "serious," indicating that global energy transportation remains highly volatile. On the other hand, Saudi Arabia's plan to expand its Red Sea oil pipeline shows that major oil-producing countries have already planned alternative transportation routes to reduce their dependence on the Strait of Hormuz. Regarding monetary policy, New York Federal Reserve President Williams stated that lower energy prices have helped improve short-term inflation, but policy remains in an appropriate position. He did not provide clear guidance on future interest rate direction, and the Fed will continue to adjust policy based on economic data. It is worth noting that the risks in the US technology sector have also increased simultaneously. Nasdaq 100 volatility has reached a two-decade high, with AI-related trading remaining highly concentrated. Some Wall Street institutions have begun using options for hedging and are gradually shifting funds towards defensive sectors such as healthcare and consumer staples, reflecting profit-taking pressure on highly valued tech stocks. In the crypto market, Bitcoin remains range-bound. Short-term market liquidity is mainly concentrated in four key liquidation zones: $62,500 and $60,000 on the downside, and $64,300 and $67,700 on the upside. With continued macroeconomic disruptions, prices may still see liquidity liquidation around highly leveraged positions, and short-term volatility is expected to remain high. The market will continue to monitor developments in the Middle East, oil prices, and global risk sentiment.
Bitunix Analyst: The Real Test for Risk Assets Comes from Capital, Not War
According to Mars Finance, on July 6th, the global market continued its trend of "cooling risk events and repricing liquidity." OPEC+ announced a production increase of 188,000 barrels per day in August, the US and Iran maintained room for negotiation, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz continued to recover, further reducing energy supply risks. On the other hand, while the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues, market focus is gradually shifting to a new round of diplomatic negotiations that Trump may push for, and how the fiscal and monetary policies of various countries will affect global capital flows in the second half of the year. At the macro level, more divergent signals emerged. The European Central Bank believes that the decline in oil prices has cooled inflation again, while Germany is preparing to expand its borrowing due to lower-than-expected fiscal revenue. Japan still faces pressure from a weak yen and interest rate differentials, while companies such as Micron, Samsung, and Infineon continue to increase their investments in AI and semiconductors, indicating that global capital is still concentrated in AI infrastructure rather than flowing back to high-risk assets. In the crypto market, funding remains conservative. Cryptocurrency ETFs saw a net outflow of approximately $275 million in the past week, reflecting that even with some easing of geopolitical risks, institutional funds have not actively replenished their positions. Currently, the market is more focused on whether global liquidity will improve again, rather than on short-term events themselves. ETF fund flows will remain a key indicator of market risk appetite. Looking ahead, if oil prices remain low and geopolitical tensions do not escalate further, market focus will gradually shift back to global funding costs, national monetary policies, and the sustainability of AI capital expenditures. Before new funds enter the market, the crypto market may continue to consolidate within a range, awaiting the next significant shift in fund flows.
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Curve DAO is recruiting a new risk assessment and market monitoring team.
According to Foresight News , Curve DAO has launched a public call for proposals, stating that following LlamaRisk's departure from Curve, they need to find a replacement risk assessment and market monitoring team to cover Curve's native assets. The new team should specify the responsibilities they can assume, their committed key performance indicators (KPIs), and their required budget. The objective of this task is to help the Curve DAO make better risk-adjusting decisions in the crvUSD price stabilization mechanism and minting market, as well as the Llamalend segregated market. The selected team will be responsible for minimizing preventable losses, bad debts, and market damage, helping the DAO understand whether Curve is adequately compensated for its risk-taking, monitoring deterioration in active markets, and reporting significant risks in advance. In addition, the team needs to support sustainable DAO revenue through risk analysis and improve transparency through regular public reporting and reusable risk infrastructure.