2026年发币概率下降，Base、OpenSea与Polymarket均出现下调
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AlphAi upgrades Polymarket's compatibility with prediction market experiences, adding AI analytics and real-time signals.
According to official Odaily, Web3 trading platform AlphAi has announced an upgrade to its Polymarket-compatible prediction market experience, further integrating prediction markets into the platform's trading ecosystem. This upgrade adds AI analytics, real-time market signals, structured navigation, and Crypto market categorization. Users can view AI reference analysis, social dynamics, Smart Money activities, and real-time event markers on supported prediction market pages to better understand the information flow, fund movements, and event progression behind changes in market probability. AlphAi stated that prediction markets are gradually evolving from simple order book access to a more intelligent, event-driven trading experience. The platform will continue to build a trading discovery and entry point for Web3 users, focusing on memes, prediction markets, crypto events, and other emerging trading scenarios.
Polymarket's World Cup title prediction market trading volume surpasses $3.9 billion, with France's probability of winning rising to 35.1%.
According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Odaily Odaily, the cumulative trading volume in the 2026 World Cup champion prediction market has exceeded $3.9 billion. France's probability of winning has risen to 35.1%, corresponding to a trading volume of over $94.5 million; Argentina ranks second with 16.8%, with a trading volume of $99.99 million; and Spain ranks third with 12.3%.
predict.fun: Over 120,000 unique users participated in trading this week.
According to Odaily Odaily, prediction market platform predict.fun stated that over 120,000 unique users completed transactions on its platform this week, all of which occurred on the BNB Chain.
The predictive behavior AI network THEA has raised $8 million in funding, led by Maven 11 Capital and others.
PANews reported on July 3rd that THEA, a predictive behavior AI network focused on the risk markets, has completed an $8 million funding round to build its Solana-based coordination layer and expand its AI infrastructure. The round was led by Maven11 Capital, Spartan Group, ManifoldTrading, HackVC, and Fisher8 Capital. Founded in 2024 and headquartered in the Cayman Islands, THEA's AI models are trained on over 35 billion real-world decision-making data points. Its core product is providing predictive behavior AI for the risk markets. The company plans to launch THEA Network—a coordination layer that routes inference requests and settles transactions on Solana, while keeping large amounts of data processing off-chain.
predict.fun Institutional-grade block trading function officially launched
According to official news from Mars Finance, the BNB ecosystem prediction market platform predict.fun has announced the launch of an institutional-grade bulk trading function. This function provides off-chain matching and on-chain settlement services for large-scale transactions on the platform, supporting institutional users in conducting large-scale prediction market transactions. Through a dedicated matching service, buyers and sellers can directly match counterparties to complete large orders in a single peer-to-peer (P2P) transaction, avoiding issues such as slippage, insufficient liquidity, and position exposure in traditional order book trading. It is understood that predict.fun will waive all over-the-counter (OTC) transaction-related fees for the next two weeks.
Polymarket sued over dispute over Strategy's sale of a Bitcoin prediction market.
According to Mars Finance, on July 7th, two plaintiffs filed a lawsuit against Polymarket, accusing it of breach of contract and deceptive conduct in a prediction market related to whether Strategy would sell Bitcoin by the end of May. According to the complaint filed on July 3rd in the New York State Supreme Court, plaintiffs William Wood and Thomas Bush named Polymarket, its CEO Shayne Coplan, Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber, and other related entities and individuals as defendants. The complaint alleges that the two plaintiffs held a "Yes" position in a binary prediction market that asked whether Strategy would sell any Bitcoin holdings by May 31st. According to Strategy's Form 8-K filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the company did sell 32 Bitcoins (BTC) between May 26th and 31st. However, the plaintiffs point out that Polymarket ultimately ruled the market "No." They stated that the platform added a clarification before settlement, effectively changing the criterion from "whether the sale was completed before May 31st" to "whether the sale was publicly confirmed before May 31st." Due to this change in criteria, although Strategy had sold Bitcoin within the deadline, the prediction market was ultimately ruled "no" on June 3rd via a UMA vote (the mechanism Polymarket uses to adjudicate disputed markets).